Photo: Arne Müseler , cropped by Blackcat, CC BY-SA 3.0Forecast Verdict
Top pick correctWe said
Actual
OneTouch Forecast · dc-v1.15
Leeds United won; our pre-match call put the chance of that at 37%. Leeds United had more shots (15–7) and more on target (6–5).
Pre-match call frozen 14 Sept 2026 · model dc-v1.15
Tactical shift
Sean Steur
On for Nico González
19'
Lewis Miley
Own goal
32'
1–0
Jayden Bogle
Assist · Dominic Calvert-Lewin
34'
2–0
Dominic Calvert-Lewin
Booked
44'
Dominic Calvert-Lewin
Assist · Tarik Muharemovic
46'
3–0
Jacob Murphy
Booked
54'
Bazoumana Touré
On for Jacob Murphy
57'
Tino Livramento
On for Amar Dedic
58'
Noah Okafor
59'
4–0
Harry Wilson
On for Noah Okafor
72'
Lukas Nmecha
On for Dominic Calvert-Lewin
78'
Aladji Bamba
On for Lewis Miley
80'
Daniel James
On for Jayden Bogle
83'
Sean Longstaff
On for Anton Stach
88'
Bazoumana Touré
90'
4–1
Tino Livramento
Booked
90'+1'
Ratings are out of 10. marks an OneTouch estimate, not a confirmed grade. Tap a player for details.
Match DNA
Transition Warfare
The match swung on turnovers. Moments of transition were the only moments that mattered.
23 shots
xG for this match is modelled rather than measured, so per-shot and total xG figures are withheld. Positions and outcomes are as recorded.
accuracy · 40%
kill rate · 27%
accuracy · 71%
kill rate · 14%
Leeds United turned 27% of shots into goals to Newcastle United's 14%.
Shots on Target
Attack
xG · BSD
Head to Head
Last 9 meetings3
Home
3.2 goals / game
2
Away
4
Draw
League Standing
Premier LeagueKey context
Venue
Elland Road
Kick-off
14 Sept · 19:00 UTC
Referee
Michael Salisbury
England · 3.6 yellows/match
Arena 3D
Pitch-level coverage: the ball follows the real on-pitch action.
