Marco Rente
7'
0–1
Forecast Verdict
Top pick missedWe said
Actual
OneTouch Forecast · dc-v1.15
FC Groningen won; our pre-match call put the chance of that at 34%. Excelsior had more shots (16–14) but fewer on target (2–9).
Pre-match call frozen 11 Oct 2026 · model dc-v1.15
Tactical shift
Marco Rente
7'
0–1
David Van Der Werff
Booked
20'
Irakli Yegoian
Penalty
36'
1–1
Stijn van Gassel
Own goal
38'
1–2
Thom Van Bergen
Penalty
64'
1–3
Kasey Bos
On for Simon Janssen
65'
Tygo Land
On for Jacob Ondrejka
66'
Brynjólfur Willumsson
Assist · Pelle Clement
67'
1–4
Márk Csinger
On for Hans Hateboer
72'
Tygo Land
Booked
80'
Alireza Jahanbakhsh
On for Aymen Sliti
81'
Nils Eggens
On for Brynjólfur Willumsson
84'
Ryan Metu
On for Thom Van Bergen
85'
Marco Rente
95'
1–5
Ratings are out of 10. marks an OneTouch estimate, not a confirmed grade. Tap a player for details.
Match DNA
Chaos Match
High-event, low-control. Structure broke down repeatedly — pure entertainment.
31 shots
xG for this match is modelled rather than measured, so per-shot and total xG figures are withheld. Positions and outcomes are as recorded.
accuracy · 13%
kill rate · 6%
accuracy · 64%
kill rate · 36%
FC Groningen turned 36% of shots into goals to Excelsior's 6%.
Shots on Target
Attack
xG · BSD
Head to Head
League Standing
EredivisieKey context
Venue
Stadion Woudestein
Kick-off
11 Oct · 14:45 UTC
Referee
Richard Martens
Netherlands · 3.3 yellows/match
Arena 3D
Pitch-level coverage: the ball follows the real on-pitch action.