Tolu Arokodare
Assist · Abdellah Ouazane
9'
1–0
Forecast Verdict
Top pick correctWe said
Actual
OneTouch Forecast · dc-v2.0
Ajax Amsterdam won; our pre-match call put the chance of that at 47%. AZ Alkmaar had more shots (19–9) and more on target (5–2).
Pre-match call frozen 31 Oct 2026 · model dc-v2.0
Tolu Arokodare
Assist · Abdellah Ouazane
9'
1–0
Weslley Patati
Booked
26'
Abdellah Ouazane
Booked
30'
Oscar Gloukh
On for Julian Brandt
38'
Mees De Wit
Booked
44'
Wesley Hoedt
On for Wouter Goes
45'
Marcos Leonardo
On for Abdellah Ouazane
60'
Calvin Stengs
On for Valdemar Byskov
60'
Steven Berghuis
On for Tolu Arokodare
74'
Mateo Chávez
On for Mees De Wit
78'
Bendegúz Kovács
On for Lewis Schouten
85'
Ratings are out of 10. marks an OneTouch estimate, not a confirmed grade. Tap a player for details.
Match DNA
Transition Warfare
The match swung on turnovers. Moments of transition were the only moments that mattered.
29 shots
Expected goals over time
accuracy · 22%
kill rate · 11%
accuracy · 26%
kill rate · 0%
Ajax Amsterdam turned 11% of shots into goals to AZ Alkmaar's 0%.
Shots on Target
Attack
xG · BSD