Victor Edvardsen
On for Thibo Baeten
60'
| Minute | Side | Scorer | Score after |
|---|---|---|---|
| 72' | away | Sören Tengstedt | 0-1 |
Win probability from OneTouch's in-running model (CC-LIVE-1.2+prior): score and clock only, from our pre-match call. Not xG.
Forecast Verdict
Top pick correctWe said
Model at kick-off: EXC 32% · Draw 22% · GAE 46%
Actual
OneTouch Forecast · dc-v2.0
Go Ahead Eagles won; our pre-match call put the chance of that at 45%. Excelsior had more shots (14–6) and the same number on target (2–2).
Pre-match call frozen 7 Nov 2026 · model dc-v2.0
Tactical shift
Victor Edvardsen
On for Thibo Baeten
60'
David Garden
On for Mario Dominguez
70'
Alireza Jahanbakhsh
On for Aymen Sliti
71'
Sören Tengstedt
Assist · Mathis Suray
72'
0–1
Oskar Siira Sivertsen
On for Sören Tengstedt
76'
Simon Janssen
On for Kasey Bos
79'
Tomas Galvez
Booked
81'
Gerrit Nauber
On for Alfons Sampsted
84'
Match DNA
Transition Warfare
The match swung on turnovers. Moments of transition were the only moments that mattered.
20 shots
Expected goals over time
accuracy · 14%
kill rate · 0%
accuracy · 33%
kill rate · 17%
Go Ahead Eagles turned 17% of shots into goals to Excelsior's 0%.
Shots on Target
Attack
xG · BSD
Head to Head
League Standing
EredivisieKey context
Venue
Stadion Woudestein
Kick-off
7 Nov · 20:00 UTC
Referee
Jeroen Manschot
Netherlands · 3.7 yellows/match
Arena 3D
Pitch-level coverage: the ball follows the real on-pitch action.