Kevin Kers
Assist · Mitchel Bakker
34'
0–1
Photo: Kevertje77 at Dutch Wikipedia, CC BY-SA 3.0| Minute | Side | Scorer | Score after |
|---|---|---|---|
| 34' | away | Kevin Kers | 0-1 |
| 38' | away | Dusan Tadic | 0-2 |
| 56' | home | Yoann Cathline | 1-2 |
| 58' | away | Dusan Tadic | 1-3 |
| 64' | home | Dani de Wit | 2-3 |
Win probability from OneTouch's in-running model (CC-LIVE-1.2+prior): score and clock only, from our pre-match call. Not xG.
Forecast Verdict
Top pick missedWe said
Model at kick-off: UTR 39% · Draw 22% · NEC 39%
Actual
OneTouch Forecast · dc-v2.0
NEC Nijmegen won; our pre-match call put the chance of that at 37%.
Pre-match call frozen 8 Nov 2026 · model dc-v2.0
Tactical shift
Kevin Kers
Assist · Mitchel Bakker
34'
0–1
Dusan Tadic
Assist · Deveron Fonville
38'
0–2
Yoann Cathline
56'
1–2
Dusan Tadic
58'
1–3
Oualid Agougil
On for Artem Stepanov
59'
Dani de Wit
Assist · Nordin Amrabat
64'
2–3
Clement Bischoff
On for Kevin Kers
69'
Nordin Amrabat
Booked
72'
Sem van Duijn
On for Per Kloosterboer
76'
Philippe Sandler
On for Deveron Fonville
77'
Bryan Linssen
Booked
85'
Ratings are out of 10. marks an OneTouch estimate, not a confirmed grade. Tap a player for details.
Match DNA
Chaos Match
High-event, low-control. Structure broke down repeatedly — pure entertainment.
32 shots
Expected goals over time
accuracy · 31%
kill rate · 13%
accuracy · 44%
kill rate · 19%
NEC Nijmegen turned 19% of shots into goals to FC Utrecht's 13%.
Shots on Target
Attack
xG · BSD
Head to Head
League Standing
EredivisieKey context
Venue
Stadion Galgenwaard
Kick-off
8 Nov · 19:00 UTC
Referee
Erwin Blank
Netherlands · 3.0 yellows/match
Arena 3D
Pitch-level coverage: the ball follows the real on-pitch action.