Photo: Alan Grant, CC BY 4.0| Minute | Side | Scorer | Score after |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28' | home | Carlos Dotor | 1-0 |
| 50' | away | Iker Luque | 1-1 |
| 60' | away | Yassir Zabiri | 1-2 |
Win probability from OneTouch's in-running model (CC-LIVE-1.2+prior): score and clock only, from our pre-match call. Not xG.
Forecast Verdict
Top pick missedWe said
Model at kick-off: MAG 49% · Draw 25% · RCS 26%
Actual
OneTouch Forecast · dc-v2.0
Racing Santander won; our pre-match call put the chance of that at 24%. Racing Santander had more shots (21–16) but fewer on target (7–8).
Pre-match call frozen 7 Nov 2026 · model dc-v2.0
Tactical shift
David Larrubia
On for Rafa Garrido
24'
Carlos Dotor
Assist · Adrián Niño
28'
1–0
Julen Agirrezabala
Booked
31'
Adam Aznou
Booked
38'
Pablo García
On for Iván Martín
45'
Einar Galilea
Booked
45'+1'
Iker Luque
Assist · Pablo Ramon
50'
1–1
Yassir Zabiri
60'
1–2
Adam Aznou
Sent off
64'
José Salinas
On for Einar Galilea
72'
André Almeida
On for Sergio Canales
73'
Adrián Niño
Booked
76'
Chupete
Booked
80'
Joaquín Muñoz
On for Carlos Dotor
82'
Íñigo Sainz
On for Pablo Ramon
82'
Aarón Martín
On for Iker Luque
88'
Carlos Dotor
Booked
90'
Ratings are out of 10. marks an OneTouch estimate, not a confirmed grade. Tap a player for details.
Match DNA
High Pressing Battle
Both sides pressed aggressively. Territory was won and lost in the opposition half.
37 shots
Expected goals over time
accuracy · 50%
kill rate · 6%
accuracy · 33%
kill rate · 10%
Racing Santander turned 10% of shots into goals to Malaga's 6%.
Shots on Target
Attack
xG · BSD
