Photo: Bj.Linnebach, CC BY 3.0Forecast Verdict
Top pick correctWe said
Actual
OneTouch Forecast · dc-v1.15
SV Elversberg won; our pre-match call put the chance of that at 42%. Augsburg had more shots (29–19) and the same number on target (8–8).
Pre-match call frozen 17 Oct 2026 · model dc-v1.15
Tactical shift
Lukas Petkov
4'
1–0
Lasse Günther
Assist · Maurice Krattenmacher
7'
2–0
Maximilian Rohr
Assist · Felix Keidel
28'
3–0
Han-Noah Massengo
Booked
30'
Luca Sirch
On for Jan Gyamerah
40'
Anton Kade
On for Marius Wolf
45'
Fabian Rieder
Penalty
54'
3–1
Chrislain Matsima
Booked
52'
Felix Keidel
Booked
54'
Mert Kömür
On for Arijon Ibrahimovic
74'
Lukas Finn Pinckert
Booked
75'
Michael Gregoritsch
Penalty
76'
3–2
Noel Futkeu
On for David Mokwa
77'
Raif Adam
On for Maurice Krattenmacher
78'
Nicolas Kristof
Booked
84'
Frederik Schmahl
Assist · Lukas Petkov
89'
4–2
Mert Kömür
Assist · Hennes Behrens
90'
4–3
Amara Conde
On for Felix Keidel
90'+3'
Frederik Schmahl
Booked
90'+6'
Ratings are out of 10. marks an OneTouch estimate, not a confirmed grade. Tap a player for details.
Match DNA
Chaos Match
High-event, low-control. Structure broke down repeatedly — pure entertainment.
48 shots
Expected goals over time
accuracy · 42%
kill rate · 21%
accuracy · 28%
kill rate · 10%
SV Elversberg turned 21% of shots into goals to Augsburg's 10%.
Shots on Target
Attack
xG · BSD
