Photo: Detlefrueter, CC BY-SA 4.0
Turning point · 65'Niclas Füllkrug2–2Forecast Verdict
Top pick missedWe said
Actual
OneTouch Forecast · dc-v1.15
It finished level; our pre-match call put the chance of that at 25%. Werder Bremen had more shots (18–11) and more on target (11–4).
Pre-match call frozen 17 Oct 2026 · model dc-v1.15
Tactical shift
Stefano Marino
Booked
4'
Stefano Marino
Assist · Steffen Tigges
18'
0–1
Steffen Tigges
30'
0–2
Mitchell Weiser
On for Chuki
45'
Niclas Füllkrug
Assist · Eren Dinkci
59'
1–2
Cedric Itten
On for Eren Dinkci
63'
Niclas Füllkrug
Penalty
65'
2–2
Rayan Philippe
On for Stefano Marino
66'
Ruben Müller
On for Gabriel Vidovic
75'
Dariusz Stalmach
On for Ludovit Reis
79'
Youri Regeer
Booked
86'
Paul Bright Max Erevbenagie
On for Youri Regeer
88'
Jonah Sticker
On for Mattes Hansen
88'
Ratings are out of 10. marks an OneTouch estimate, not a confirmed grade. Tap a player for details.
Match DNA
Midfield Domination
Control of central areas dictated everything. The midfield battle was the match.
29 shots
Expected goals over time
2.79 – 0.95
accuracy · 61%
kill rate · 11%
accuracy · 36%
kill rate · 18%
SC Paderborn 07 turned 18% of shots into goals to Werder Bremen's 11%.
Shots on Target
Attack
xG · BSD
Head to Head
Last 5 meetings2
Home
3.8 goals / game
1
Away
2
Draw
League Standing
BundesligaKey context
Venue
Weserstadion
Kick-off
17 Oct · 13:30 UTC
Referee
Robert Schröder
Germany · 3.2 yellows/match
Arena 3D
Pitch-level coverage: the ball follows the real on-pitch action.
