Photo: Ungry Young Man from Vienna, Austria, CC BY 2.0Forecast Verdict
Top pick correctWe said
Actual
OneTouch Forecast · dc-v1.15
SC Paderborn 07 won; our pre-match call put the chance of that at 48%. SC Paderborn 07 had more shots (16–8) and more on target (6–1).
Pre-match call frozen 24 Oct 2026 · model dc-v1.15
Otto Stange
On for Fabio Vieira
13'
Terem Moffi
On for Yussuf Poulsen
45'
Tom Baack
On for Gabriel Vidovic
45'
Shafiq Nandja
Booked
53'
Jano Horst
Booked
58'
Felix Götze
On for Jano Horst
62'
Rayan Philippe
On for Laurin Ulrich
70'
Albert Sambi Lokonga
On for Miro Muheim
71'
Sven Michel
On for Stefano Marino
79'
Albert Sambi Lokonga
Booked
87'
Rayan Philippe
Assist · Felix Götze
88'
1–0
Alexander Røssing-Lelesiit
On for Otto Stange
89'
Ratings are out of 10. marks an OneTouch estimate, not a confirmed grade. Tap a player for details.
Match DNA
Midfield Domination
Control of central areas dictated everything. The midfield battle was the match.
25 shots
Expected goals over time
1.13 – 0.43
accuracy · 38%
kill rate · 6%
accuracy · 13%
kill rate · 0%
SC Paderborn 07 turned 6% of shots into goals to Hamburger SV's 0%.
Shots on Target
Attack
xG · BSD
Head to Head
Last 3 meetings2
Home
2.3 goals / game
1
Away
0
Draw
League Standing
BundesligaKey context
Venue
Home Deluxe Arena
Kick-off
24 Oct · 13:30 UTC
Referee
Martin Petersen
Germany · 3.2 yellows/match
Arena 3D
Pitch-level coverage: the ball follows the real on-pitch action.
