Photo: Kim Holger Kelting, CC BY 4.0| Minute | Side | Scorer | Score after |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11' | home | Miro Muheim | 1-0 |
| 44' | away | Robin Hack | 1-1 |
| 59' | home | Shafiq Nandja | 2-1 |
| 70' | home | Albert Grønbaek | 3-1 |
Win probability from OneTouch's in-running model (CC-LIVE-1.2+prior): score and clock only, from our pre-match call. Not xG.
Forecast Verdict
Top pick missedWe said
Model at kick-off: HSV 37% · Draw 25% · BMG 38%
Actual
OneTouch Forecast · dc-v2.0
Hamburger SV won; our pre-match call put the chance of that at 35%. Borussia Monchengladbach had more shots (19–18) but fewer on target (6–9).
Pre-match call frozen 6 Nov 2026 · model dc-v2.0
Tactical shift
Miro Muheim
Assist · Albert Sambi Lokonga
11'
1–0
Kou Itakura
Booked
38'
Robin Hack
Assist · Joe Scally
44'
1–1
Kou Itakura
Sent off
49'
Kevin Diks
On for Robin Hack
56'
Shafiq Nandja
Assist · Albert Grønbaek
59'
2–1
Alexander Røssing-Lelesiit
On for Shafiq Nandja
63'
Albert Grønbaek
70'
3–1
Yussuf Poulsen
On for Albert Grønbaek
80'
Jens Castrop
On for Zento Uno
81'
Jason-Dean Bissi Mouelle
On for Sebastiaan Bornauw
89'
Ratings are out of 10. marks an OneTouch estimate, not a confirmed grade. Tap a player for details.
Match DNA
Midfield Domination
Control of central areas dictated everything. The midfield battle was the match.
37 shots
Expected goals over time
accuracy · 50%
kill rate · 17%
accuracy · 32%
kill rate · 5%
Hamburger SV turned 17% of shots into goals to Borussia Monchengladbach's 5%.
Shots on Target
Attack
xG · BSD
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings5
Home
2.4 goals / game
1
Away
4
Draw
League Standing
BundesligaKey context
Venue
Volksparkstadion
Kick-off
6 Nov · 19:30 UTC
Referee
Sven Jablonski
Germany · 3.1 yellows/match
Arena 3D
Pitch-level coverage: the ball follows the real on-pitch action.
