Photo: Gkbediako, CC BY-SA 4.0
Turning point · 91'Neto Borges2–3Forecast Verdict
Top pick missedWe said
Actual
OneTouch Forecast · dc-v1.15
Middlesbrough won; our pre-match call put the chance of that at 26%. Middlesbrough had more shots (20–8) and more on target (9–1).
Pre-match call frozen 13 Oct 2026 · model dc-v1.15
Tactical shift
Callum Brittain
Assist · Amario Cozier-Duberry
48'
0–1
Neto Borges
Own goal
50'
1–1
Sebastian Berhalter
Booked
51'
Riley McGree
On for Sebastian Berhalter
64'
George Hirst
On for Lamine Cisse
67'
Luke Graham
Booked
68'
Will Lankshear
73'
1–2
Kyle Joseph
On for Will Lankshear
77'
Max Arfsten
On for Amario Cozier-Duberry
78'
Bosun Lawal
On for Junior Tchamadeu
79'
Róbert Bozeník
Assist · George Hirst
85'
2–2
Neto Borges
91'
2–3
Ratings are out of 10. marks an OneTouch estimate, not a confirmed grade. Tap a player for details.
Match DNA
Chaos Match
High-event, low-control. Structure broke down repeatedly — pure entertainment.
29 shots
xG for this match is modelled rather than measured, so per-shot and total xG figures are withheld. Positions and outcomes are as recorded.
accuracy · 13%
kill rate · 25%
accuracy · 45%
kill rate · 15%
Stoke City turned 25% of shots into goals to Middlesbrough's 15%.
Shots on Target
Attack
xG · BSD
Head to Head
Last 2 meetings1
Home
2.0 goals / game
0
Away
1
Draw
League Standing
ChampionshipKey context
Venue
bet365 Stadium
Kick-off
13 Oct · 19:00 UTC
Referee
Elliot Bell
England · 4.2 yellows/match
Arena 3D
Pitch-level coverage: the ball follows the real on-pitch action.
Desk Stories
