Jamie Vardy
Assist · Jacob Bruun Larsen
20'
1–0
Forecast Verdict
Top pick correctWe said
Actual
OneTouch Forecast · dc-v1.15
Wolverhampton won; our pre-match call put the chance of that at 38%. Wolverhampton had more shots (20–15) and more on target (8–4).
Pre-match call frozen 16 Oct 2026 · model dc-v1.15
Jamie Vardy
Assist · Jacob Bruun Larsen
20'
1–0
Fernando López
Assist · Sean Neave
39'
1–1
Mateus Mané
On for Jean-Ricner Bellegarde
61'
Armando Broja
On for Jamie Vardy
61'
Reo Hatate
Booked
63'
Sean Neave
Booked
70'
Tommy Doyle
On for Fernando López
71'
Tawanda Chirewa
On for Sean Neave
72'
Tawanda Chirewa
Assist · Mateus Mané
72'
1–2
Marcus Edwards
On for Reo Hatate
75'
Ratings are out of 10. marks an OneTouch estimate, not a confirmed grade. Tap a player for details.
Match DNA
Transition Warfare
The match swung on turnovers. Moments of transition were the only moments that mattered.
35 shots
Expected goals over time
accuracy · 27%
kill rate · 7%
accuracy · 40%
kill rate · 10%
Wolverhampton turned 10% of shots into goals to Burnley's 7%.
Shots on Target
Attack
xG · BSD
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings4
Home
2.2 goals / game
1
Away
5
Draw
League Standing
ChampionshipKey context
Venue
Turf Moor
Kick-off
16 Oct · 19:00 UTC
Referee
Lewis Smith
England · 3.6 yellows/match
Arena 3D
Pitch-level coverage: the ball follows the real on-pitch action.