Photo: Richard Croft, CC BY-SA 2.0
Turning point · 84'Red CardForecast Verdict
Top pick missedWe said
Actual
OneTouch Forecast · dc-v1.15
It finished level; our pre-match call put the chance of that at 27%. Millwall had more shots (18–9) and more on target (6–3).
Pre-match call frozen 17 Oct 2026 · model dc-v1.15
Tactical shift
Andrei Coubis
1'
0–1
Robert Street
Assist · Sonny Bradley
33'
0–2
Tristan Crama
Booked
35'
Robert Street
Booked
35'
Freddie Draper
Booked
41'
Max Crocombe
On for Filip Marschall
45'
Kyrell Lisbie
63'
1–2
Daniel Oyegoke
On for Recco Hackett-Fairchild
66'
Andrei Coubis
Booked
69'
Kyrell Lisbie
Booked
72'
Romain Esse
On for Jenson Metcalfe
72'
Ryley Towler
On for Adam Reach
80'
Zak Lovelace
On for Kyrell Lisbie
80'
Jake Cooper
82'
2–2
Ayodeji Elerewe
Sent off
84'
Zak Sturge
Booked
86'
Ratings are out of 10. marks an OneTouch estimate, not a confirmed grade. Tap a player for details.
Match DNA
Midfield Domination
Control of central areas dictated everything. The midfield battle was the match.
27 shots
Expected goals over time
accuracy · 33%
kill rate · 11%
accuracy · 33%
kill rate · 22%
Lincoln City turned 22% of shots into goals to Millwall's 11%.
Shots on Target
Attack
xG · BSD
Head to Head
League Standing
ChampionshipKey context
Venue
The Den
Kick-off
17 Oct · 11:30 UTC
Referee
Ruebyn Ricardo
England · 4.5 yellows/match
Arena 3D
Pitch-level coverage: the ball follows the real on-pitch action.
