Turning point · 54'Red CardForecast Verdict
Top pick correctWe said
Actual
OneTouch Forecast · dc-v1.15
Rio Ave won; our pre-match call put the chance of that at 39%. C.D. Nacional had more shots (12–11) but fewer on target (5–7).
Pre-match call frozen 11 Oct 2026 · model dc-v1.15
Tactical shift
Njoya Kader
Assist · Francisco Gonçalves
32'
0–1
Sebastian Clemmensen
39'
1–1
João Tomé
Booked
50'
João Tomé
Sent off
54'
Diogo Bezerra
Assist · Sebastian Clemmensen
57'
2–1
Njoya Kader
59'
2–2
Roland Galcik
On for Sebastian Clemmensen
63'
Fernando Nava
On for Daniel Júnior
68'
Jalen Blesa
Penalty
72'
3–2
Jalen Blesa
Booked
73'
Diogo Nascimento
On for Diogo Bezerra
76'
Tamble
On for Jalen Blesa
78'
Allen Obando
On for Matchoi Djoló
78'
Joel Silva
On for Njoya Kader
81'
Roland Galcik
Booked
90'+1'
Ratings are out of 10. marks an OneTouch estimate, not a confirmed grade. Tap a player for details.
Match DNA
High Pressing Battle
Both sides pressed aggressively. Territory was won and lost in the opposition half.
24 shots
Expected goals over time
1.66 – 1.22
accuracy · 64%
kill rate · 27%
accuracy · 42%
kill rate · 17%
Rio Ave turned 27% of shots into goals to C.D. Nacional's 17%.
Shots on Target
Attack
xG · BSD
Head to Head
League Standing
Primeira LigaKey context
Venue
Estádio do Rio Ave
Kick-off
11 Oct · 14:30 UTC
Referee
Carlos Macedo
Portugal · 3.5 yellows/match
Arena 3D
Pitch-level coverage: the ball follows the real on-pitch action.
