Photo: Johnlp, CC BY-SA 4.0| Minute | Side | Scorer | Score after |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13' | home | Alistair Smith | 1-0 |
Win probability from OneTouch's in-running model (CC-LIVE-1.2+prior): score and clock only, from our pre-match call. Not xG.
Forecast Verdict
Top pick correctWe said
Model at kick-off: WIM 37% · Draw 30% · BLP 32%
Actual
OneTouch Forecast · dc-v2.0
AFC Wimbledon won; our pre-match call put the chance of that at 36%. Blackpool had more shots (15–9) and more on target (5–2).
Pre-match call frozen 14 Nov 2026 · model dc-v2.0
Alistair Smith
13'
1–0
Dion Charles
On for Tom Bloxham
45'
Steven Sessegnon
On for Harry Cornick
66'
Christopher Hamilton
On for Jordan Brown
68'
James Tilley
Booked
72'
Zack Nelson
On for Ollie Harrison
76'
Niall Ennis
On for Dale Taylor
77'
Albie Morgan
Booked
83'
Alistair Smith
Booked
87'
Ratings are out of 10. marks an OneTouch estimate, not a confirmed grade. Tap a player for details.
24 shots
Expected goals over time
accuracy · 22%
kill rate · 11%
accuracy · 33%
kill rate · 0%
AFC Wimbledon turned 11% of shots into goals to Blackpool's 0%.
Shots on Target
Attack
xG · BSD
Head to Head
League Standing
League OneKey context
Venue
The Cherry Red Records Stadium
Kick-off
14 Nov · 15:00 UTC
Arena 3D
Pitch-level coverage: the ball follows the real on-pitch action.
