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Forecast track record · last 7 days by kickoff

1 of 2 top picks were right. Brier 0.463 against 0.667 for guessing a third each way — better than chance (lower is better).

Monthly Calibration · August 2026

How the forecast did last month

The model’s scorecard for August 2026. Hit rate, mid-tier accuracy, and the calls we got wrong with confidence.

No resolved forecasts in August 2026. Calibration posts appear once the month closes and forecasts have been graded.