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Match Forecast · Public record

All our calls

Every forecast we’ve published and graded — the ones we got right and the ones we got wrong. Bad forecasts are content, not embarrassment.

Calls graded150
Top pick right46%
Mean Brier0.630
  1. RightStockport County v Peterborough United1–0
    League OneWe said Home win at 71%Result Home winBrier 0.13026 Sept 2026
  2. WrongWycombe Wanderers v Reading2–2
    League OneWe said Away win at 37%Result DrawBrier 0.79726 Sept 2026
  3. WrongFC Porto v Benfica3–1
    Primeira LigaWe said Away win at 43%Result Home winBrier 0.71420 Sept 2026
  4. RightValencia v Real Sociedad2–3
    La LigaWe said Away win at 47%Result Away winBrier 0.42120 Sept 2026
  5. RightAC Milan v Lecce3–0
    Serie AWe said Home win at 55%Result Home winBrier 0.30720 Sept 2026
  6. WrongMarseille v Paris Saint-Germain1–2
    Ligue 1We said Home win at 39%Result Away winBrier 0.66420 Sept 2026
  7. RightSC Paderborn 07 v TSG Hoffenheim3–1
    BundesligaWe said Home win at 40%Result Home winBrier 0.54620 Sept 2026
  8. WrongEstoril v Casa Pia1–2
    Primeira LigaWe said Home win at 40%Result Away winBrier 0.89020 Sept 2026
  9. WrongSanta Clara v Braga0–0
    Primeira LigaWe said Home win at 54%Result DrawBrier 0.86520 Sept 2026
  10. RightVillarreal v Levante3–1
    La LigaWe said Home win at 46%Result Home winBrier 0.43520 Sept 2026
  11. WrongDeportivo v Real Betis1–1
    La LigaWe said Home win at 36%Result DrawBrier 0.72520 Sept 2026
  12. RightJuventus v Atalanta2–0
    Serie AWe said Home win at 49%Result Home winBrier 0.39420 Sept 2026
  13. WrongSchalke 04 v SV Elversberg0–0
    BundesligaWe said Away win at 41%Result DrawBrier 0.81120 Sept 2026
  14. WrongFulham v Manchester United1–1
    Premier LeagueWe said Away win at 39%Result DrawBrier 0.79420 Sept 2026
  15. WrongNice v Lille2–1
    Ligue 1We said Away win at 40%Result Home winBrier 0.75420 Sept 2026
  16. WrongNEC Nijmegen v Go Ahead Eagles1–1
    EredivisieWe said Home win at 44%Result DrawBrier 0.91420 Sept 2026
  17. WrongVitória de Guimaraes v Moreirense1–1
    Primeira LigaWe said Home win at 40%Result DrawBrier 0.68520 Sept 2026
  18. RightAtlético Madrid v Real Madrid2–1
    La LigaWe said Home win at 51%Result Home winBrier 0.35820 Sept 2026
  19. RightBayer Leverkusen v RB Leipzig2–0
    BundesligaWe said Home win at 54%Result Home winBrier 0.31620 Sept 2026
  20. WrongFrosinone v Como2–0
    Serie AWe said Away win at 40%Result Home winBrier 0.65220 Sept 2026
  21. RightAJ Auxerre v Brest2–1
    Ligue 1We said Home win at 38%Result Home winBrier 0.58620 Sept 2026
  22. RightParma v Genoa2–1
    Serie AWe said Home win at 38%Result Home winBrier 0.58220 Sept 2026
  23. WrongLeeds United v Crystal Palace0–0
    Premier LeagueWe said Home win at 51%Result DrawBrier 0.87220 Sept 2026
  24. RightAFC Bournemouth v Liverpool0–1
    Premier LeagueWe said Away win at 40%Result Away winBrier 0.53920 Sept 2026
  25. RightManchester City v Sunderland5–3
    Premier LeagueWe said Home win at 56%Result Home winBrier 0.29720 Sept 2026

Grading uses the same helpers as the monthly calibration summary, so this list can never disagree with it. Brier score measures how far the whole probability set sat from the result — a hedged wrong call costs less than a confident one.

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