Forecast Verdict
Top pick correctWe said
Actual
OneTouch Forecast · dc-v1.15
Southampton won; our pre-match call put the chance of that at 43%. Southampton had more shots (16–10) and more on target (4–2).
Pre-match call frozen 8 Sept 2026 · model dc-v1.15
Finn Azaz
Assist · Flynn Downes
9'
1–0
Cyle Larin
Assist · James Bree
33'
2–0
Ronald
On for Joseph Opoku
45'
Zan Vipotnik
Penalty
52'
2–1
Ronald
Booked
54'
Melker Widell
On for Jay Fulton
63'
Adam Idah
On for Zan Vipotnik
70'
Kuryu Matsuki
On for Tom Fellows
76'
Léo Scienza
Assist · Kuryu Matsuki
78'
3–1
Eom Ji-Sung
On for Moussa Yeo
78'
Divin Mubama
On for Cyle Larin
85'
Cameron Bragg
On for James Ward-Prowse
90'+2'
Ratings are out of 10. marks an OneTouch estimate, not a confirmed grade. Tap a player for details.
Match DNA
Transition Warfare
The match swung on turnovers. Moments of transition were the only moments that mattered.
26 shots
Expected goals over time
accuracy · 25%
kill rate · 19%
accuracy · 20%
kill rate · 10%
Southampton turned 19% of shots into goals to Swansea City's 10%.
Shots on Target
Attack
xG · BSD
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings7
Home
1.5 goals / game
2
Away
1
Draw
League Standing
ChampionshipKey context
Venue
St. Mary's Stadium
Kick-off
8 Sept · 18:45 UTC
Referee
Lewis Smith
England · 3.6 yellows/match
Arena 3D
Pitch-level coverage: the ball follows the real on-pitch action.
