Photo: Arne Müseler, CC BY-SA 3.0Forecast Verdict
Top pick missedWe said
Actual
OneTouch Forecast · dc-v1.15
West Bromwich Albion won; our pre-match call put the chance of that at 37%. Derby County had more shots (13–4) and more on target (3–1).
Pre-match call frozen 9 Sept 2026 · model dc-v1.15
Tactical shift
Harry Whitwell
Booked
10'
Aune Heggebo
Assist · Jimmy Morgan
16'
0–1
Brayann Pereira
Booked
26'
Brayann Pereira
Sent off
34'
Nolan Galves
On for Harry Whitwell
37'
Rabby Nzingoula
On for Aune Heggebo
45'
Lars Jorgen Salvesen
On for Dion Sanderson
45'
Conor Townsend
On for Nolan Galves
52'
Henrik Meister
On for David Ozoh
63'
Jimmy Morgan
Booked
82'
Corey Taylor
On for Eiran Cashin
84'
Match DNA
Midfield Domination
Control of central areas dictated everything. The midfield battle was the match.
17 shots
Expected goals over time
accuracy · 23%
kill rate · 0%
accuracy · 25%
kill rate · 25%
West Bromwich Albion turned 25% of shots into goals to Derby County's 0%.
Shots on Target
Attack
xG · BSD
Head to Head
League Standing
ChampionshipKey context
Venue
Pride Park
Kick-off
9 Sept · 18:45 UTC
Referee
James Bell
England · 3.8 yellows/match
Arena 3D
Pitch-level coverage: the ball follows the real on-pitch action.
