Turning point · 89'Keven Schlotterbeck2–1Forecast Verdict
Top pick missedWe said
Actual
OneTouch Forecast · dc-v1.15
Wrexham won; our pre-match call put the chance of that at 31%. Southampton had more shots (19–8) and more on target (7–4).
Pre-match call frozen 19 Sept 2026 · model dc-v1.15
Cyle Larin
Booked
14'
Kieffer Moore
Assist · Benjamin Whiteman
35'
1–0
Samuel Edozie
On for Léo Scienza
45'
James Ward-Prowse
Assist · Samuel Edozie
50'
1–1
Matty James
On for Ben Sheaf
65'
Nathan Wood
Booked
69'
Sam Smith
On for Kieffer Moore
72'
Tom Fellows
On for Kuryu Matsuki
76'
Dominic Hyam
Booked
86'
Divin Mubama
On for Cyle Larin
86'
Lewis O'Brien
On for Josh Windass
87'
Keven Schlotterbeck
Own goal
89'
2–1
Ryan Manning
Booked
90'+2'
Lewis Dobbin
On for James Bree
90'+2'
Flynn Downes
Booked
90'+5'
Ratings are out of 10. marks an OneTouch estimate, not a confirmed grade. Tap a player for details.
Match DNA
High Pressing Battle
Both sides pressed aggressively. Territory was won and lost in the opposition half.
29 shots
xG for this match is modelled rather than measured, so per-shot and total xG figures are withheld. Positions and outcomes are as recorded.
accuracy · 50%
kill rate · 25%
accuracy · 37%
kill rate · 5%
Wrexham turned 25% of shots into goals to Southampton's 5%.
Shots on Target
Attack
xG · BSD
Head to Head
League Standing
ChampionshipKey context
Venue
STōK Cae Ras
Kick-off
19 Sept · 14:00 UTC
Referee
Gavin Ward
England · 3.3 yellows/match
Arena 3D
Pitch-level coverage: the ball follows the real on-pitch action.
