Martín Payero
Booked
9'
Photo: Jon Candy from Cardiff, Wales, CC BY-SA 2.0Forecast Verdict
Top pick correctWe said
Actual
OneTouch Forecast · dc-v1.15
Cardiff City won; our pre-match call put the chance of that at 55%. Cardiff City had more shots (22–14) and more on target (10–4).
Pre-match call frozen 13 Oct 2026 · model dc-v1.15
Tactical shift
Martín Payero
Booked
9'
Jack Moylan
Penalty
11'
1–0
William Fish
On for Dylan Lawlor
29'
Jack Moylan
Assist · Cian Ashford
35'
2–0
Matthew Pollock
Own goal
41'
3–0
Ollie Tanner
Assist · Perry Ng
50'
4–0
Mamadou Doumbia
On for Myron Boadu
56'
Iker Bravo
On for Martín Payero
67'
David Turnbull
On for Jack Moylan
69'
Krépin Diatta
On for Othmane Maamma
69'
Edo Kayembe
Booked
73'
Callum Robinson
On for Ollie Tanner
82'
Callum Robinson
Assist · David Turnbull
85'
5–0
Amin Nabizada
Booked
86'
Perry Ng
Booked
86'
Hector Kyprianou
Assist · Iker Bravo
87'
5–1
Hector Kyprianou
Booked
90'+5'
Ratings are out of 10. marks an OneTouch estimate, not a confirmed grade. Tap a player for details.
Match DNA
Chaos Match
High-event, low-control. Structure broke down repeatedly — pure entertainment.
37 shots
xG for this match is modelled rather than measured, so per-shot and total xG figures are withheld. Positions and outcomes are as recorded.
accuracy · 45%
kill rate · 23%
accuracy · 29%
kill rate · 7%
Cardiff City turned 23% of shots into goals to Watford's 7%.
Shots on Target
Attack
xG · BSD
Head to Head
Last 2 meetings0
Home
5.5 goals / game
2
Away
0
Draw
League Standing
ChampionshipKey context
Venue
Cardiff City Stadium
Kick-off
13 Oct · 18:45 UTC
Referee
John Busby
England · 3.7 yellows/match
Arena 3D
Pitch-level coverage: the ball follows the real on-pitch action.