Photo: Zakarie Faibis, CC BY-SA 4.0Forecast Verdict
Top pick correctWe said
Actual
OneTouch Forecast · dc-v1.15
Queens Park Rangers won; our pre-match call put the chance of that at 47%. Derby County had more shots (15–9) but fewer on target (6–7).
Pre-match call frozen 14 Oct 2026 · model dc-v1.15
Ryan Nyambe
On for Sondre Langas
12'
Alfie Lloyd
Assist · Boy Kemper
18'
1–0
Nicolas Madsen
Penalty
22'
2–0
David Ozoh
Booked
24'
Sammie Szmodics
Booked
44'
Harvey Vale
45'
3–0
Lewis Travis
On for David Ozoh
45'
Henrik Meister
Booked
56'
Harvey Vale
Booked
57'
Glen Kamara
Booked
60'
Richard Kone
On for Rayan Kolli
62'
Lars Jorgen Salvesen
On for Carlton Morris
63'
Paul Smyth
Assist · Nicolas Madsen
68'
4–0
Filip Bilbija
On for Sammie Szmodics
70'
Amadou Salif Mbengue
On for Boy Kemper
72'
Leon Scarlett
On for Paul Smyth
77'
Lars Jorgen Salvesen
100'
4–1
Ratings are out of 10. marks an OneTouch estimate, not a confirmed grade. Tap a player for details.
Match DNA
Transition Warfare
The match swung on turnovers. Moments of transition were the only moments that mattered.
24 shots
Expected goals over time
accuracy · 78%
kill rate · 44%
accuracy · 40%
kill rate · 7%
Queens Park Rangers turned 44% of shots into goals to Derby County's 7%.
Shots on Target
Attack
xG · BSD
Head to Head
League Standing
ChampionshipKey context
Venue
MATRADE Loftus Road
Kick-off
14 Oct · 18:45 UTC
Referee
Matthew Corlett
England · 4.4 yellows/match
Arena 3D
Pitch-level coverage: the ball follows the real on-pitch action.
