Photo: SGGH, CC BY-SA 3.0Forecast Verdict
Top pick missedWe said
Actual
OneTouch Forecast · dc-v1.15
Sheffield United won; our pre-match call put the chance of that at 31%. Sheffield United had more shots (16–7) and more on target (2–1).
Pre-match call frozen 17 Oct 2026 · model dc-v1.15
Oliver Arblaster
5'
0–1
Elijah Adebayo
On for Scott Twine
45'
Patrick Bamford
On for Jordan Ayew
69'
Brian De Keersmaecker
On for Gibson Yah
72'
Sydie Peck
On for Oliver Arblaster
78'
Ryan One
On for Ben Brereton Díaz
79'
Tomi Horvat
On for Jason Knight
85'
Jamal Baptiste
On for Thomas Cannon
87'
Match DNA
Transition Warfare
The match swung on turnovers. Moments of transition were the only moments that mattered.
23 shots
Expected goals over time
accuracy · 14%
kill rate · 0%
accuracy · 13%
kill rate · 6%
Sheffield United turned 6% of shots into goals to Bristol City's 0%.
Shots on Target
Attack
xG · BSD
Head to Head
League Standing
ChampionshipKey context
Venue
Ashton Gate
Kick-off
17 Oct · 14:00 UTC
Referee
Benjamin Speedie
England · 3.1 yellows/match
Arena 3D
Pitch-level coverage: the ball follows the real on-pitch action.
