Luca Bombino
On for Eric Bocat
38'
Photo: Arne Müseler, CC BY-SA 3.0Forecast Verdict
Top pick correctWe said
Actual
OneTouch Forecast · dc-v1.15
Stoke City won; our pre-match call put the chance of that at 44%. Derby County had more shots (17–12) but fewer on target (3–4).
Pre-match call frozen 17 Oct 2026 · model dc-v1.15
Luca Bombino
On for Eric Bocat
38'
George Hirst
On for Jack McGlynn
45'
Luke Graham
Assist · Ethan Galbraith
49'
0–1
Rhian Brewster
On for Lewis Travis
52'
Maksym Taloverov
On for Bosun Lawal
68'
Henrik Meister
On for Mohammed Fuseini
73'
David Ozoh
Booked
76'
Corey Taylor
On for Bobby Clark
87'
Ratings are out of 10. marks an OneTouch estimate, not a confirmed grade. Tap a player for details.
29 shots
Expected goals over time
0.99 – 0.56
accuracy · 18%
kill rate · 0%
accuracy · 33%
kill rate · 8%
Stoke City turned 8% of shots into goals to Derby County's 0%.
Shots on Target
Attack
xG · BSD
Head to Head
League Standing
ChampionshipKey context
Venue
Pride Park
Kick-off
17 Oct · 14:00 UTC
Referee
Oliver Langford
England · 3.5 yellows/match
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