Photo: SGGH, CC BY-SA 3.0| Minute | Side | Scorer | Score after |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22' | away | Paris Maghoma | 0-1 |
| 53' | away | Harry Darling | 0-2 |
| 56' | away | Andre Brooks | 0-3 |
| 70' | away | Jovon Makama | 0-4 |
| 80' | away | Mathias Kvistgaarden | 0-5 |
Win probability from OneTouch's in-running model (CC-LIVE-1.2+prior): score and clock only, from our pre-match call. Not xG.
Forecast Verdict
Top pick correctWe said
Model at kick-off: BRC 30% · Draw 25% · NOR 45%
Actual
OneTouch Forecast · dc-v2.0
Norwich City won; our pre-match call put the chance of that at 42%. Norwich City had more shots (17–14) and more on target (7–4).
Pre-match call frozen 7 Nov 2026 · model dc-v2.0
Tactical shift
Paris Maghoma
Assist · Sam Field
22'
0–1
Jed Wallace
On for Cameron Pring
45'
Harry Darling
53'
0–2
Andre Brooks
56'
0–3
Darlin Yongwa
On for Benjamin Chrisene
60'
Tomi Horvat
On for Jason Knight
60'
Lucien Mahovo
On for Andre Brooks
66'
Brian De Keersmaecker
On for Joe Williams
66'
Jovon Makama
Assist · Anthony Musaba
70'
0–4
Elijah Adebayo
On for Scott Twine
74'
Oscar Schwartau
On for Anthony Musaba
75'
Kenny McLean
On for Sam Field
76'
Mathias Kvistgaarden
80'
0–5
Match DNA
Chaos Match
High-event, low-control. Structure broke down repeatedly — pure entertainment.
32 shots
Expected goals over time
accuracy · 29%
kill rate · 0%
accuracy · 41%
kill rate · 29%
Norwich City turned 29% of shots into goals to Bristol City's 0%.
Shots on Target
Attack
xG · BSD
Head to Head
League Standing
ChampionshipKey context
Venue
Ashton Gate
Kick-off
7 Nov · 12:30 UTC
Referee
Lewis Smith
England · 3.6 yellows/match
Arena 3D
Pitch-level coverage: the ball follows the real on-pitch action.
