Cardiff City vs Burnley

Follow your club

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Photo: Jon Candy from Cardiff, Wales, CC BY-SA 2.0

Championship

Full Time

Home

Cardiff City

5—4

Away

Burnley

Ollie Tanner 40'
Yousef Salech 65', 82'
Jack Moylan 75' pen.
Alex Robertson 94'

Andreas Hountondji 15'
Marcus Edwards 25'
Largie Ramazani 55'
Alex Robertson 62' o.g.

Big Moment

Breaking

Class

What?!

Watching

Decisive

Cardiff City StadiumKickoff: 7 Nov · 15:00 UTC

Cardiff City’s chance of winning

Goals on the thread
Minute	Side	Scorer	Score after
15'	away	Andreas Hountondji	0-1
25'	away	Marcus Edwards	0-2
40'	home	Ollie Tanner	1-2
55'	away	Largie Ramazani	1-3
62'	away	Alex Robertson	1-4
65'	home	Yousef Salech	2-4
75'	home	Jack Moylan	3-4
82'	home	Yousef Salech	4-4
90'+4'	home	Alex Robertson	5-4

Turning point · 90+4'Alex RobertsonCAR swung it 90 points

Win probability from OneTouch's in-running model (CC-LIVE-1.2+prior): score and clock only, from our pre-match call. Not xG.

Forecast Verdict

Top pick correct

We said

CAR44%

Draw25%

BUR31%

Model at kick-off: CAR 45% · Draw 22% · BUR 33%

Actual

5–4Home win

Brier0.4660 perfect, 2 worst

OneTouch Forecast · dc-v2.0

Cardiff City won; our pre-match call put the chance of that at 44%. Cardiff City had more shots (25–15) and more on target (11–8).

Pre-match call frozen 7 Nov 2026 · model dc-v2.0

How it happened

Key Moments

18 moments

Tactical shift

63' Home side made 2 changes within 1 minute of conceding.

Goal
Andreas Hountondji
Assist · Lucas Pires
15'
0–1
Goal
Marcus Edwards
Assist · Jaydon Banel
25'
0–2
Goal
Ollie Tanner
Assist · Rubin Colwill
40'
1–2
Yellow Card
Krystian Bielik
Booked
50'
Goal
Largie Ramazani
55'
1–3
Substitution
Aaron Ramsey
On for Marcus Edwards
58'
Goal
Alex Robertson
Own goal
62'
1–4
Substitution
Yousef Salech
On for Ollie Tanner
63'
Substitution
Connor Roberts
On for Lucas Pires
64'
Goal
Yousef Salech
Assist · Cian Ashford
65'
2–4
Substitution
Calum Scanlon
On for Krystian Bielik
71'
Goal
Jack Moylan
75'
3–4
Yellow Card
Joel Bagan
Booked
79'
Yellow Card
Largie Ramazani
Booked
79'
Substitution
Zeki Amdouni
On for Andreas Hountondji
80'
Goal
Yousef Salech
82'
4–4
Goal
Alex Robertson
Assist · Chris Willock
94'
5–4
Substitution
Joel Colwill
On for Jack Moylan
90'+6'

Possession66% – 34%

Momentum

Who's on top · confirmed events only

Cardiff CityBurnley

0'HTFT

Who did it

Lineups

CAR4-2-3-1

BUR4-2-3-1

Ratings are out of 10. marks an OneTouch estimate, not a confirmed grade. Tap a player for details.

CAR Manager

Brian Barry-Murphy

4-2-3-1

BUR Manager

Fabio Celestini

4-2-3-1

The evidence

Match DNA

Chaos Match

High-event, low-control. Structure broke down repeatedly — pure entertainment.

Shot map

41 shots

CAR · 25 shots16 shots · BUR

GoalSavedBlockedOff targetMarker area = chance quality (xG)

xG for this match is modelled rather than measured, so per-shot and total xG figures are withheld. Positions and outcomes are as recorded.

Kill Rate

Finishing Efficiency

Cardiff City

CAR

Shots25

On Target11

accuracy · 44%

Goals5

kill rate · 20%

Burnley

BUR

Shots15

On Target8

accuracy · 53%

Goals4

kill rate · 27%

Burnley turned 27% of shots into goals to Cardiff City's 20%.

Stats

CARBUR

66%vs34%

Shots on Target

11vs8

4.72vs2.30

Attack

25Shots15

6Shots off Target3

8Blocked Shots4

44%Shot Accuracy53%

13Shots inside Box10

12Shots outside Box5

8Big Chances2

4Big Chances Missed1

3.60xG on Target3.86

1Hit Woodwork0

36Touches in Box18

7Successful Dribbles6

1Penalties Taken0

5Corners6

0Offsides1

xG · BSD

Full breakdown →

The record

Head to Head

Last 2 meetings

Home

2.5 goals / game

Away

Draw

LCardiff 0–2 Burnley13 Apr 2019

LCardiff 1–2 Burnley30 Sept 2018

Open H2H encyclopedia

League Standing

Championship

Unknown

14th

18pts · 4W 6D 5L

Unknown

22nd

10pts · 1W 7D 7L

Key context

Venue

Cardiff City Stadium

Kick-off

7 Nov · 15:00 UTC

Referee

Oliver Langford

England · 3.5 yellows/match

Arena 3D

Watch the replay in 3D

Pitch-level coverage: the ball follows the real on-pitch action.

–

Cardiff City’s chance of winning

Goals on the thread
Minute	Side	Scorer	Score after
15'	away	Andreas Hountondji	0-1
25'	away	Marcus Edwards	0-2
40'	home	Ollie Tanner	1-2
55'	away	Largie Ramazani	1-3
62'	away	Alex Robertson	1-4
65'	home	Yousef Salech	2-4
75'	home	Jack Moylan	3-4
82'	home	Yousef Salech	4-4
90'+4'	home	Alex Robertson	5-4

Turning point · 90+4'Alex RobertsonCAR swung it 90 points

Win probability from OneTouch's in-running model (CC-LIVE-1.2+prior): score and clock only, from our pre-match call. Not xG.

Forecast Verdict

Top pick correct

We said

CAR44%

Draw25%

BUR31%

Model at kick-off: CAR 45% · Draw 22% · BUR 33%

Actual

5–4Home win

Brier0.4660 perfect, 2 worst

OneTouch Forecast · dc-v2.0

Cardiff City won; our pre-match call put the chance of that at 44%. Cardiff City had more shots (25–15) and more on target (11–8).

Pre-match call frozen 7 Nov 2026 · model dc-v2.0

How it happened

Key Moments

18 moments

Tactical shift

63' Home side made 2 changes within 1 minute of conceding.

Goal
Andreas Hountondji
Assist · Lucas Pires
15'
0–1
Goal
Marcus Edwards
Assist · Jaydon Banel
25'
0–2
Goal
Ollie Tanner
Assist · Rubin Colwill
40'
1–2
Yellow Card
Krystian Bielik
Booked
50'
Goal
Largie Ramazani
55'
1–3
Substitution
Aaron Ramsey
On for Marcus Edwards
58'
Goal
Alex Robertson
Own goal
62'
1–4
Substitution
Yousef Salech
On for Ollie Tanner
63'
Substitution
Connor Roberts
On for Lucas Pires
64'
Goal
Yousef Salech
Assist · Cian Ashford
65'
2–4
Substitution
Calum Scanlon
On for Krystian Bielik
71'
Goal
Jack Moylan
75'
3–4
Yellow Card
Joel Bagan
Booked
79'
Yellow Card
Largie Ramazani
Booked
79'
Substitution
Zeki Amdouni
On for Andreas Hountondji
80'
Goal
Yousef Salech
82'
4–4
Goal
Alex Robertson
Assist · Chris Willock
94'
5–4
Substitution
Joel Colwill
On for Jack Moylan
90'+6'

Possession66% – 34%

Momentum

Who's on top · confirmed events only

Cardiff CityBurnley

0'HTFT

Who did it

Lineups

CAR4-2-3-1

BUR4-2-3-1

Ratings are out of 10. marks an OneTouch estimate, not a confirmed grade. Tap a player for details.

CAR Manager

Brian Barry-Murphy

4-2-3-1

BUR Manager

Fabio Celestini

4-2-3-1

The evidence

Match DNA

Chaos Match

High-event, low-control. Structure broke down repeatedly — pure entertainment.

Shot map

41 shots

CAR · 25 shots16 shots · BUR

GoalSavedBlockedOff targetMarker area = chance quality (xG)

xG for this match is modelled rather than measured, so per-shot and total xG figures are withheld. Positions and outcomes are as recorded.

Kill Rate

Finishing Efficiency

Cardiff City

CAR

Shots25

On Target11

accuracy · 44%

Goals5

kill rate · 20%

Burnley

BUR

Shots15

On Target8

accuracy · 53%

Goals4

kill rate · 27%

Burnley turned 27% of shots into goals to Cardiff City's 20%.

Stats

CARBUR

66%vs34%

Shots on Target

11vs8

4.72vs2.30

Attack

25Shots15

6Shots off Target3

8Blocked Shots4

44%Shot Accuracy53%

13Shots inside Box10

12Shots outside Box5

8Big Chances2

4Big Chances Missed1

3.60xG on Target3.86

1Hit Woodwork0

36Touches in Box18

7Successful Dribbles6

1Penalties Taken0

5Corners6

0Offsides1

xG · BSD

Full breakdown →

The record

Head to Head

Last 2 meetings

Home

2.5 goals / game

Away

Draw

LCardiff 0–2 Burnley13 Apr 2019

LCardiff 1–2 Burnley30 Sept 2018

Open H2H encyclopedia

League Standing

Championship

Unknown

14th

18pts · 4W 6D 5L

Unknown

22nd

10pts · 1W 7D 7L

Key context

Venue

Cardiff City Stadium

Kick-off

7 Nov · 15:00 UTC

Referee

Oliver Langford

England · 3.5 yellows/match

Arena 3D

Watch the replay in 3D

Pitch-level coverage: the ball follows the real on-pitch action.