Photo: Arne Müseler, CC BY-SA 3.0
Turning point · 49'Jack Robinson2–1Forecast Verdict
Top pick missedWe said
Actual
OneTouch Forecast · dc-v2.0
Derby County won; our pre-match call put the chance of that at 26%. Bolton Wanderers had more shots (17–9) and more on target (6–5).
Pre-match call frozen 6 Nov 2026 · model dc-v2.0
Ruben Rodrigues
Assist · Gaizka Larrazabal
42'
0–1
Ryan Nyambe
Assist · Mohammed Fuseini
46'
1–1
Jack Robinson
Assist · Carlton Morris
49'
2–1
Luca Stephenson
Booked
62'
Kyliane Dong
On for Thierry Gale
70'
Atsuki Ito
On for Luca Stephenson
71'
Alex Mowatt
On for Lewis Travis
73'
Thelonius Bair
On for Akin Famewo
82'
Max Lott
On for Ruben Rodrigues
90'+2'
Lars Jorgen Salvesen
On for Carlton Morris
90'+3'
Rhian Brewster
94'
3–1
Rhian Brewster
Booked
90'+4'
Gaizka Larrazabal
Booked
90'+5'
Ratings are out of 10. marks an OneTouch estimate, not a confirmed grade. Tap a player for details.
Match DNA
High Pressing Battle
Both sides pressed aggressively. Territory was won and lost in the opposition half.
26 shots
Expected goals over time
accuracy · 56%
kill rate · 33%
accuracy · 35%
kill rate · 6%
Derby County turned 33% of shots into goals to Bolton Wanderers's 6%.
Shots on Target
Attack
xG · BSD
Head to Head
League Standing
ChampionshipKey context
Venue
Pride Park
Kick-off
6 Nov · 20:00 UTC
Referee
James Bell
England · 3.8 yellows/match
Arena 3D
Pitch-level coverage: the ball follows the real on-pitch action.
