Tyrese Shade
6'
1–0
| Minute | Side | Scorer | Score after |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6' | home | Tyrese Shade | 1-0 |
| 59' | away | Jack McGlynn | 1-1 |
| 77' | away | Ben Wilmot | 1-2 |
Win probability from OneTouch's in-running model (CC-LIVE-1.2+prior): score and clock only, from our pre-match call. Not xG.
Forecast Verdict
Top pick missedWe said
Model at kick-off: POR 49% · Draw 26% · STK 25%
Actual
OneTouch Forecast · dc-v2.0
Stoke City won; our pre-match call put the chance of that at 23%. Portsmouth had more shots (8–4) and the same number on target (3–3).
Pre-match call frozen 7 Nov 2026 · model dc-v2.0
Tactical shift
Tyrese Shade
6'
1–0
Ebrima Adams
Booked
22'
Junior Tchamadeu
Booked
29'
Regan Poole
Booked
45'+1'
Róbert Bozeník
Booked
55'
Luca Bombino
On for Junior Tchamadeu
57'
Jack McGlynn
Assist · Luca Bombino
59'
1–1
Thomas Waddingham
On for Adrian Segecic
65'
Ethan Galbraith
Booked
72'
Zak Swanson
On for Jayden Meghoma
75'
Ben Wilmot
77'
1–2
Josh Murphy
On for Odin Bailey
81'
Justin Devenny
On for Million Manhoef
86'
Ratings are out of 10. marks an OneTouch estimate, not a confirmed grade. Tap a player for details.
12 shots
Expected goals over time
0.66 – 0.88
accuracy · 38%
kill rate · 13%
accuracy · 75%
kill rate · 50%
Stoke City turned 50% of shots into goals to Portsmouth's 13%.
Shots on Target
Attack
xG · BSD
Head to Head
League Standing
ChampionshipKey context
Venue
Fratton Park
Kick-off
7 Nov · 12:30 UTC
Referee
Benjamin Speedie
England · 3.1 yellows/match
Arena 3D
Pitch-level coverage: the ball follows the real on-pitch action.
Desk Stories