Photo: Hudson6dogs, CC BY-SA 3.0| Minute | Side | Scorer | Score after |
|---|---|---|---|
| 33' | home | Jordan Thompson | 1-0 |
Win probability from OneTouch's in-running model (CC-LIVE-1.2+prior): score and clock only, from our pre-match call. Not xG.
Forecast Verdict
Top pick missedWe said
Model at kick-off: PNE 26% · Draw 24% · SOU 50%
Actual
OneTouch Forecast · dc-v2.0
Preston North End won; our pre-match call put the chance of that at 26%. Southampton had more shots (23–15) and more on target (8–2).
Pre-match call frozen 7 Nov 2026 · model dc-v2.0
Stanley Mills
Booked
3'
Zach Abbott
On for Keven Schlotterbeck
11'
Liam Lindsay
Booked
32'
Jordan Thompson
33'
1–0
Andrew Hughes
Booked
37'
Ed Nolan
On for Stanley Mills
64'
Delano Burgzorg
On for Callum Lang
70'
Ed Nolan
Booked
74'
Samuel Edozie
On for James Bree
74'
Ryan Manning
On for Welington
75'
Divin Mubama
On for Lewis Dobbin
80'
38 shots
Expected goals over time
accuracy · 13%
kill rate · 7%
accuracy · 35%
kill rate · 0%
Preston North End turned 7% of shots into goals to Southampton's 0%.
Shots on Target
Attack
xG · BSD
Head to Head
League Standing
ChampionshipKey context
Venue
Deepdale
Kick-off
7 Nov · 15:00 UTC
Referee
Tom Nield
England · 3.6 yellows/match
Arena 3D
Pitch-level coverage: the ball follows the real on-pitch action.
