Photo: Barry Ephgrave, CC BY-SA 2.0Forecast Verdict
Top pick correctWe said
Actual
OneTouch Forecast · dc-v1.15
Luton Town won; our pre-match call put the chance of that at 41%. Luton Town had more shots (18–12) and more on target (7–2).
Pre-match call frozen 29 Sept 2026 · model dc-v1.15
Jamie Sterry
Booked
11'
Jamie Donley
Booked
30'
Tudor Mendel-Idowu
On for Nahki Wells
41'
Callum Marshall
Penalty
44'
1–0
Brandon Hanlan
On for Hakeeb Adelakun
45'
Jamie Donley
51'
2–0
Owen Bailey
Booked
60'
George Broadbent
On for Robbie Gotts
68'
Jordan Thomas
On for Leon Ayinde
69'
Emilio Lawrence
On for Kasey Palmer
71'
Jamie Donley
72'
3–0
Daniel Gore
On for Liam Walsh
72'
Harry Clifton
On for Will Keane
73'
Bayley Mccann
84'
3–1
Jordan Thomas
Booked
90'+3'
Ratings are out of 10. marks an OneTouch estimate, not a confirmed grade. Tap a player for details.
Match DNA
Transition Warfare
The match swung on turnovers. Moments of transition were the only moments that mattered.
30 shots
Expected goals over time
accuracy · 39%
kill rate · 17%
accuracy · 17%
kill rate · 8%
Luton Town turned 17% of shots into goals to Doncaster Rovers's 8%.
Shots on Target
Attack
xG · BSD
Head to Head
League Standing
League OneKey context
Venue
Kenilworth Road
Kick-off
27 Oct · 19:45 UTC
Arena 3D
Pitch-level coverage: the ball follows the real on-pitch action.
