Talleres (Córdoba) vs Belgrano (Córdoba) — build-up and preview.
Kickoff
Sun · 08:00 PM
Venue
Mario Alberto Kempes
Model is split — too close to call with confidence.
Expected goals · TAL 0.9 · BEL 1.1 · 2.0 total
BEL's attack (0.93x (below the league average)) against TAL's defence (1.09x (conceding more than average)) gives an expected-goals edge of 0.2.
Every square is one final score. Add up the green squares for TAL's win chance, the blue ones for BEL's, and the grey diagonal for the draw. Model estimate, not odds.
| TAL goals | BEL 0 | BEL 1 | BEL 2 | BEL 3 | BEL 4 | BEL 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TAL 0 | 15% | 15% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| TAL 1 | 12% | 14% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| TAL 2 | 5% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| TAL 3 | 2% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| TAL 4 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| TAL 5 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
TAL 27.9% · Draw 32.9% · BEL 39.2%
Scores with 6+ goals for either side (0.1%) are counted in the totals but not drawn.
OneTouch call · statistical model, for interest not betting advice
This looks level with over 2.5 goals at 30% — open but no clear winner.
The draw at 33% is the single most likely outcome — scoreline distribution keeps returning to 0-0.
The model uses league form only — it doesn't weight head-to-head history, recent injuries, or tactical changes that may shift the balance.
Predicted XI released around an hour before kickoff
recent results, streaks and prior meetings
Solid badge = vs. top-tier opponent
how each side performs at their ground
BEL scores +0.13 more per 90
BEL concedes 0.49 fewer per 90
discipline, stakes and what's on the horizon
Card profiles need a season sample
Yellow and red cards per game — measured against the league average — appear once both clubs have built a meaningful sample.
No table for this competition
Knockout and friendly fixtures aren't ranked by a league standing — table position and stakes show for league matches.
Shots on target, shot conversion, and xG lift will appear here once the match ends.
