Turning point · 44'Red CardForecast Verdict
Top pick missedWe said
Actual
OneTouch Forecast · dc-v1.15
Instituto (Córdoba) won; our pre-match call put the chance of that at 30%. Instituto (Córdoba) had more shots (13–8) and more on target (6–2).
Pre-match call frozen 29 Sept 2026 · model dc-v1.15
Tactical shift
Matias Tissera
Booked
13'
Jeremías Lázaro
Assist · Matias Tissera
16'
0–1
Leonel Mosevich
Booked
21'
Maximiliano Meza
Assist · Santiago Montiel
22'
1–1
Iván Marcone
Booked
29'
Maximiliano Meza
Booked
40'
Marcos Ledesma
Booked
40'
Maximiliano Meza
Sent off
44'
Hernán De La Fuente
On for Giuliano Cerato
45'
Hernán De La Fuente
51'
1–2
Nahuel Banegas
On for Ramiro Martino
62'
Matías Gallardo
65'
1–3
Facundo Suárez
On for Matias Tissera
66'
Felipe Tempone
On for Mateo Pérez
73'
Alex Luna
Assist · Jeremías Lázaro
80'
1–4
Lucas Sanseviero
On for Jeremías Lázaro
81'
Jonás Acevedo
On for Matías Gallardo
87'
Chimy Ávila
On for Iván Morales
87'
Santiago Arias
On for Leonardo Godoy
88'
Santiago Arias
Booked
90'+2'
Ratings are out of 10. marks an OneTouch estimate, not a confirmed grade. Tap a player for details.
Match DNA
Transition Warfare
The match swung on turnovers. Moments of transition were the only moments that mattered.
21 shots
Expected goals over time
accuracy · 25%
kill rate · 13%
accuracy · 46%
kill rate · 31%
Instituto (Córdoba) turned 31% of shots into goals to Independiente's 13%.
Shots on Target
Attack
xG
Head to Head
Key context
Venue
Estadio Libertadores de América
Kick-off
2 Oct · 22:15 UTC
Referee
Hernan Mastrangelo
Argentina · 4.7 yellows/match
Arena 3D
Pitch-level coverage: the ball follows the real on-pitch action.
