Huracán vs Aldosivi — build-up and preview.
Kickoff
Sun · 05:45 PM
Venue
Estadio Tomás Adolfo Ducó
Expected goals · HUR 1.5 · ALD 0.7 · 2.2 total
HUR's attack (0.90x (below the league average)) against ALD's defence (1.19x (conceding more than average)) gives an expected-goals edge of 0.8.
Every square is one final score. Add up the green squares for HUR's win chance, the blue ones for ALD's, and the grey diagonal for the draw. Model estimate, not odds.
| HUR goals | ALD 0 | ALD 1 | ALD 2 | ALD 3 | ALD 4 | ALD 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HUR 0 | 12% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| HUR 1 | 16% | 13% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| HUR 2 | 12% | 9% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| HUR 3 | 6% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| HUR 4 | 2% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| HUR 5 | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
HUR 54.7% · Draw 28.1% · ALD 17.2%
Scores with 6+ goals for either side (0.4%) are counted in the totals but not drawn.
OneTouch call · statistical model, for interest not betting advice
Huracán have the edge at 55% — enough to favour them, not enough to feel certain.
BTTS at 40% suggests both attacks will find the net — 1-0 at 16% sits at the top of the scoreline distribution.
The model uses league form only — it doesn't weight head-to-head history, recent injuries, or tactical changes that may shift the balance.
Predicted XI released around an hour before kickoff
recent results, streaks and prior meetings
Solid badge = vs. top-tier opponent
how each side performs at their ground
HUR scores +0.29 more per 90
HUR concedes 0.56 fewer per 90
discipline, stakes and what's on the horizon
Card profiles need a season sample
Yellow and red cards per game — measured against the league average — appear once both clubs have built a meaningful sample.
No table for this competition
Knockout and friendly fixtures aren't ranked by a league standing — table position and stakes show for league matches.
Shots on target, shot conversion, and xG lift will appear here once the match ends.
