Nahuel Banegas
Booked
8'
Forecast Verdict
Top pick missedWe said
Actual
OneTouch Forecast · dc-v1.15
It finished level; our pre-match call put the chance of that at 29%. Independiente had more shots (15–10) but fewer on target (2–3).
Pre-match call frozen 11 Oct 2026 · model dc-v1.15
Nahuel Banegas
Booked
8'
Josias Palais
On for Matías Abaldo
70'
Diego Valoyes
On for Valentin Depietri
70'
Lautaro Ortiz
On for Federico Fattori
71'
Santiago Montiel
Booked
75'
Lautaro Millán
On for Luciano Cabral
82'
Franco Cristaldo
On for Giovanni Baroni
82'
Alexandro Maidana
On for Gabriel Báez
83'
Emiliano Chiavassa
On for Rick
88'
Felipe Tempone
On for Santiago Arias
90'+3'
Match DNA
Transition Warfare
The match swung on turnovers. Moments of transition were the only moments that mattered.
25 shots
Expected goals over time
accuracy · 30%
kill rate · 0%
accuracy · 13%
kill rate · 0%
Talleres (Córdoba) and Independiente each turned 0% of their shots into goals.
Shots on Target
Attack
xG
Head to Head
Key context
Venue
Mario Alberto Kempes
Kick-off
12 Oct · 00:30 UTC
Referee
Sebastian Zunino
Argentina · 5.0 yellows/match
Arena 3D
Pitch-level coverage: the ball follows the real on-pitch action.