Forecast Verdict
Top pick missedWe said
Actual
OneTouch Forecast · dc-v1.15
San Lorenzo won; our pre-match call put the chance of that at 39%. San Lorenzo had more shots (13–11) and more on target (4–3).
Pre-match call frozen 11 Oct 2026 · model dc-v1.15
Tactical shift
Alexis Cuello
Booked
20'
Alexander Díaz
Booked
41'
Emiliano Amor
Booked
42'
Agustín Ladstatter
On for Gonzalo Alassia
45'
Brian Sánchez
Booked
52'
Ángel Almada
On for Brian Sánchez
54'
Mariano Bracamonte
Booked
58'
Gustavo Del Prete
On for Alexis Cuello
60'
Teo Rodríguez
Assist · Rodrigo Auzmendi
67'
1–0
Gabriel Obredor
On for Antony Alonso
70'
Martin Rio
On for Facundo Gulli
78'
Nicolás Benegas
On for Nicolás Sansotre
80'
Ángel Almada
Booked
88'
Rodrigo Auzmendi
Booked
89'
Ezequiel Herrera
On for Rodrigo Auzmendi
90'+1'
Ratings are out of 10. marks an OneTouch estimate, not a confirmed grade. Tap a player for details.
Match DNA
Midfield Domination
Control of central areas dictated everything. The midfield battle was the match.
24 shots
Expected goals over time
1.52 – 1.40
accuracy · 31%
kill rate · 8%
accuracy · 27%
kill rate · 0%
San Lorenzo turned 8% of shots into goals to Deportivo Riestra's 0%.
Shots on Target
Attack
xG
Head to Head
Key context
Venue
Estadio Pedro Bidegain
Kick-off
11 Oct · 17:45 UTC
Referee
Bruno Amiconi
Argentina · 5.9 yellows/match
Arena 3D
Pitch-level coverage: the ball follows the real on-pitch action.
