| Minute | Side | Scorer | Score after |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12' | home | Cristian Tarragona | 1-0 |
| 28' | home | Cristian Tarragona | 2-0 |
Win probability from OneTouch's in-running model (CC-LIVE-1.2+prior): score and clock only, from our pre-match call. Not xG.
Forecast Verdict
Top pick missedWe said
Model at kick-off: USF 33% · Draw 24% · VEL 43%
Actual
OneTouch Forecast · dc-v2.0
Unión (Santa Fe) won; our pre-match call put the chance of that at 33%. Unión (Santa Fe) had more shots (15–8) and more on target (4–1).
Pre-match call frozen 6 Nov 2026 · model dc-v2.0
Thiago Silvero
Sent off
10'
Tomás Marchiori
Booked
11'
Joaquín Mosqueira
Booked
11'
Cristian Tarragona
12'
1–0
Cristian Tarragona
Assist · Marcelo Estigarribia
28'
2–0
Mauro Luna Diale
Booked
31'
Leo Cristaldo
On for Juan Policella
34'
Tobías Rubio
Booked
45'+4'
Rodrigo Aliendro
Booked
47'
Julián Palacios
Booked
48'
Víctor Malcorra
On for Julián Palacios
60'
Claudio Baeza
On for Rodrigo Aliendro
71'
Eric Ramírez
On for Marcelo Estigarribia
74'
Juan Pintado
On for Tobías Rubio
82'
Simon Escobar
On for Elias Gomez
83'
Ratings are out of 10. marks an OneTouch estimate, not a confirmed grade. Tap a player for details.
23 shots
Expected goals over time
accuracy · 27%
kill rate · 13%
accuracy · 13%
kill rate · 0%
Unión (Santa Fe) turned 13% of shots into goals to Vélez Sarsfield's 0%.
Shots on Target
Attack
xG
Head to Head
League Standing
Argentine Liga Profesional de FútbolKey context
Venue
15 de Abril
Kick-off
6 Nov · 22:15 UTC
Referee
Carlos Andres Gariano
Argentina · 4.8 yellows/match
Arena 3D
Pitch-level coverage: the ball follows the real on-pitch action.
