| Minute | Side | Scorer | Score after |
|---|---|---|---|
| 44' | home | Julián Fernández | 1-0 |
| 86' | home | Emanuel Coronel | 2-0 |
Win probability from OneTouch's in-running model (CC-LIVE-1.2+prior): score and clock only, from our pre-match call. Not xG.
Forecast Verdict
Top pick correctWe said
Model at kick-off: ROS 72% · Draw 19% · AAE 9%
Actual
OneTouch Forecast · dc-v2.0
Rosario Central won; our pre-match call put the chance of that at 71%. Rosario Central had more shots (15–1) and more on target (6–1).
Pre-match call frozen 7 Nov 2026 · model dc-v2.0
Tactical shift
Agustin Quiroga
Booked
8'
Julián Fernández
Assist · Gastón Ávila
44'
1–0
Ibrahim Hesar
Booked
55'
Bautista Pieroni
On for Juan Camilo Chala Castillo
58'
Joaquín Román Rivero
On for Ibrahim Hesar
69'
Gastón Ávila
Sent off
72'
Sebastian Zaracho
On for Julián Fernández
73'
Sergio Ojeda
Booked
74'
Fernando Rodríguez
Booked
80'
Lucas Baños
On for Gonzalo Gonzalez
85'
Emanuel Coronel
86'
2–0
Ratings are out of 10. marks an OneTouch estimate, not a confirmed grade. Tap a player for details.
Match DNA
Midfield Domination
Control of central areas dictated everything. The midfield battle was the match.
16 shots
Expected goals over time
1.05 – 0.03
accuracy · 40%
kill rate · 13%
accuracy · 100%
kill rate · 0%
Rosario Central turned 13% of shots into goals to Estudiantes de Río Cuarto's 0%.
Shots on Target
Attack
xG · BSD
Head to Head
League Standing
Argentine Liga Profesional de FútbolKey context
Venue
Gigante de Arroyito
Kick-off
7 Nov · 20:30 UTC
Referee
Hernan Mastrangelo
Argentina · 4.7 yellows/match
Arena 3D
Pitch-level coverage: the ball follows the real on-pitch action.
