Photo: Matibro, CC BY-SA 4.0| Minute | Side | Scorer | Score after |
|---|---|---|---|
| 90'+6' | home | Enner Valencia | 1-0 |
Win probability from OneTouch's in-running model (CC-LIVE-1.2+prior): score and clock only, from our pre-match call. Not xG.
Forecast Verdict
Top pick correctWe said
Model at kick-off: BJU 49% · Draw 26% · DYJ 25%
Actual
OneTouch Forecast · dc-v2.0
Boca Juniors won; our pre-match call put the chance of that at 50%. Boca Juniors had more shots (22–10) and more on target (5–1).
Pre-match call frozen 7 Nov 2026 · model dc-v2.0
Leandro Paredes
Booked
57'
Maximiliano Porcel
Booked
63'
Tomás Aranda
On for Alan Velasco
64'
Aaron Molinas
On for Jeremías Lucco
68'
Enner Valencia
On for Leandro Paredes
76'
Tiziano Perrota
On for Leandro Miguel Fernandez
78'
Tiziano Perrota
Booked
89'
Ezequiel Burdin Márquez
On for César Pérez
90'+1'
Enner Valencia
Assist · Lautaro Di Lollo
96'
1–0
Ratings are out of 10. marks an OneTouch estimate, not a confirmed grade. Tap a player for details.
Match DNA
Midfield Domination
Control of central areas dictated everything. The midfield battle was the match.
32 shots
Expected goals over time
1.70 – 0.38
accuracy · 23%
kill rate · 5%
accuracy · 10%
kill rate · 0%
Boca Juniors turned 5% of shots into goals to Defensa y Justicia's 0%.
Shots on Target
Attack
xG
Head to Head
League Standing
Argentine Liga Profesional de FútbolKey context
Venue
Alberto José Armando (La Bombonera)
Kick-off
7 Nov · 20:30 UTC
Referee
Sebastian Zunino
Argentina · 5.0 yellows/match
Arena 3D
Pitch-level coverage: the ball follows the real on-pitch action.
