Nicolás Orsini
Assist · Rodrigo Bogarín
43'
1–0
| Minute | Side | Scorer | Score after |
|---|---|---|---|
| 43' | home | Nicolás Orsini | 1-0 |
| 77' | home | Norberto Briasco | 2-0 |
Win probability from OneTouch's in-running model (CC-LIVE-1.2+prior): score and clock only, from our pre-match call. Not xG.
Forecast Verdict
Top pick correctWe said
Model at kick-off: BAR 43% · Draw 30% · RAC 27%
Actual
OneTouch Forecast · dc-v2.0
Barracas Central won; our pre-match call put the chance of that at 40%. Barracas Central had more shots (17–10) and more on target (4–2).
Pre-match call frozen 6 Nov 2026 · model dc-v2.0
Nicolás Orsini
Assist · Rodrigo Bogarín
43'
1–0
Esteban Rolón
On for Dardo Miloc
45'
Rodrigo Insúa
Booked
59'
Adrián Fernández
On for Tomás Conechny
59'
Francisco Fraga
On for Alejandro Tello
60'
Norberto Briasco
On for Tomás Porra
61'
Juan Insúa
On for Juan Espínola
69'
Diego Ortegoza
On for Matías Zaracho
73'
Norberto Briasco
77'
2–0
Leonel Pérez
On for Matías Kranevitter
81'
27 shots
Expected goals over time
2.60 – 0.57
accuracy · 24%
kill rate · 12%
accuracy · 20%
kill rate · 0%
Barracas Central turned 12% of shots into goals to Racing Club's 0%.
Shots on Target
Attack
xG
Head to Head
Key context
Venue
Estadio Claudio Chiqui Tapia
Kick-off
6 Nov · 18:00 UTC
Referee
Dario Herrera
Argentina · 5.5 yellows/match
Arena 3D
Pitch-level coverage: the ball follows the real on-pitch action.