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Instituto (Córdoba) vs Huracán
23 Nov · 01:00 UTC
Mario Alberto Kempes
Pre-match
FORECAST
As of 14:14 UTC · 11 NovINS 47%Draw 29%HUR 24%
Expected goals · INS 1.4 · HUR 0.9 · 2.3 total
INS's attack (1.15x the league average) against HUR's defence (0.87x, tighter than average) gives an expected-goals edge of 0.5.
MOST LIKELY SCORELINES
Show the maths
Every square is one final score. Add up the green squares for INS's win chance, the blue ones for HUR's, and the grey diagonal for the draw. Model estimate, not odds.
| INS goals | HUR 0 | HUR 1 | HUR 2 | HUR 3 | HUR 4 | HUR 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| INS 0 | 11% | 9% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| INS 1 | 14% | 14% | 6% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| INS 2 | 10% | 9% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| INS 3 | 4% | 4% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| INS 4 | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| INS 5 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
INS 47.0% · Draw 29.4% · HUR 23.7%
Scores with 6+ goals for either side (0.3%) are counted in the totals but not drawn.
OneTouch call · statistical model, for interest not betting advice
Model dc-v2.0
COMPARE
OneTouch fans
Your call?THE READ
THE CALL
Instituto (Córdoba) have the edge at 47% — the likeliest outcome, not a certain one.
THE ANGLE
Instituto (Córdoba)'s home advantage is the separator — they score 1.4/game there, Huracán concede 1.0/game on the road.
THE CAVEAT
The model uses league form only — it doesn't weight head-to-head history, recent injuries, or tactical changes that may shift the balance.
TEAM SHEETS
predicted XI, manager & bench depth
INS
3-4-3Predicted line-up
SIGNALS
OVER 1.566%
OVER 2.539%
OVER 3.519%
BTTS44%
INS CLEAN SHEET41%
HUR CLEAN SHEET26%
FORM & MEETINGS
recent results, streaks and prior meetings
RECENT FORM · LAST 5
INS
HUR
CURRENT STREAK · BOTH SIDES
INS
UNBEATEN
5
games without defeatSCORING
5
games finding the netCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last 2LAST 5
9
points · W2 D3 L0HUR
UNBEATEN
1
games without defeatSCORING
1
games finding the netCLEAN SHEETS
1
games without concedingLAST 5
3
points · W1 D0 L4VENUE PATTERNS
how each side performs at their ground
GOALS PER GAME
LEAGUE AVG1.22SCORED · PER 90
INS
1.44
LEAGUE1.22
HUR
0.98
INS scores +0.46 more per 90
CONCEDED · PER 90
INS
1.00
LEAGUE1.22
HUR
0.98
Defences level on season average