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Sint-Truidense vs Racing Genk
Pre-match
FORECAST
As of 23:51 UTC · 15 NovSTR 50%Draw 25%RGE 25%
Expected goals · STR 1.7 · RGE 1.2 · 2.9 total
STR's attack (1.16x the league average) against RGE's defence (0.94x, tighter than average) gives an expected-goals edge of 0.5.
MOST LIKELY SCORELINES
Show the maths
Every square is one final score. Add up the green squares for STR's win chance, the blue ones for RGE's, and the grey diagonal for the draw. Model estimate, not odds.
| STR goals | RGE 0 | RGE 1 | RGE 2 | RGE 3 | RGE 4 | RGE 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| STR 0 | 6% | 6% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| STR 1 | 9% | 12% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| STR 2 | 8% | 10% | 6% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| STR 3 | 5% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| STR 4 | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| STR 5 | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
STR 49.9% · Draw 24.9% · RGE 25.2%
Scores with 6+ goals for either side (1.0%) are counted in the totals but not drawn.
OneTouch call · statistical model, for interest not betting advice
Model dc-v2.0
COMPARE
OneTouch fans
Your call?THE READ
THE CALL
Sint-Truidense have the edge at 50% — the likeliest outcome, not a certain one.
THE ANGLE
Sint-Truidense's home advantage is the separator — they score 2.0/game there, Racing Genk concede 1.3/game on the road.
THE CAVEAT
The model uses league form only — it doesn't weight head-to-head history, recent injuries, or tactical changes that may shift the balance.
TEAM SHEETS
predicted XI, manager & bench depth
STR
4-2-3-1Predicted line-up
SIGNALS
OVER 1.580%
OVER 2.556%
OVER 3.534%
BTTS58%
STR CLEAN SHEET31%
RGE CLEAN SHEET17%
FORM & MEETINGS
recent results, streaks and prior meetings
RECENT FORM · LAST 5
STR
RGE
CURRENT STREAK · BOTH SIDES
STR
UNBEATEN
1
games without defeatSCORING
4
games finding the netCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last 5LAST 5
3
points · W1 D0 L4RGE
LOSING RUN
2
Lost 0–1 last outGOAL DROUGHT
2
games without scoringCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last 3LAST 5
6
points · W2 D0 L3VENUE PATTERNS
how each side performs at their ground
GOALS PER GAME
LEAGUE AVG1.42SCORED · PER 90
STR
2.02
LEAGUE1.42
RGE
1.59
STR scores +0.43 more per 90
CONCEDED · PER 90
STR
2.02
LEAGUE1.42
RGE
1.32
RGE concedes 0.70 fewer per 90