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Standard Liege vs Club Brugge
Pre-match
FORECAST
As of 23:46 UTC · 15 NovModel is split — no outcome stands clear.
STL 30%Draw 25%BRU 44%
Expected goals · STL 1.3 · BRU 1.6 · 2.9 total
BRU's attack (1.60x the league average) against STL's defence (0.84x, tighter than average) gives an expected-goals edge of 0.3.
MOST LIKELY SCORELINES
Show the maths
Every square is one final score. Add up the green squares for STL's win chance, the blue ones for BRU's, and the grey diagonal for the draw. Model estimate, not odds.
| STL goals | BRU 0 | BRU 1 | BRU 2 | BRU 3 | BRU 4 | BRU 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| STL 0 | 6% | 8% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% |
| STL 1 | 6% | 12% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 1% |
| STL 2 | 5% | 7% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| STL 3 | 2% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| STL 4 | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| STL 5 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
STL 30.4% · Draw 25.4% · BRU 44.2%
Scores with 6+ goals for either side (0.9%) are counted in the totals but not drawn.
OneTouch call · statistical model, for interest not betting advice
Model dc-v2.0
COMPARE
OneTouch fans
Your call?THE READ
THE CALL
Club Brugge have the edge at 44% — the likeliest outcome, not a certain one.
THE ANGLE
Single-goal margins account for 38% of outcomes — 1-1 at 12% is the model's best guess.
THE CAVEAT
The model uses league form only — it doesn't weight head-to-head history, recent injuries, or tactical changes that may shift the balance.
TEAM SHEETS
predicted XI, manager & bench depth
STL
4-3-3BRU
4-2-3-1Predicted line-up
TEAM NEWS
Standard Liege
Unknown · Expected back 30 Nov
Achilles Tendon Injury · Expected back 31 Jan
Knee Injury
Club Brugge
No absences reported.
Refreshed about every 30 minutes. Return dates are estimates.
SIGNALS
OVER 1.581%
OVER 2.557%
OVER 3.535%
BTTS60%
STL CLEAN SHEET19%
BRU CLEAN SHEET26%
FORM & MEETINGS
recent results, streaks and prior meetings
RECENT FORM · LAST 5
STL
BRU
Solid badge = vs. top-tier opponent
CURRENT STREAK · BOTH SIDES
STL
UNBEATEN
2
games without defeatSCORING
3
games finding the netCLEAN SHEETS
1
games without concedingLAST 5
4
points · W1 D1 L3BRU
UNBEATEN
5
games without defeatSCORING
5
games finding the netCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last 4LAST 5
13
points · W4 D1 L0VENUE PATTERNS
how each side performs at their ground
GOALS PER GAME
LEAGUE AVG1.42SCORED · PER 90
STL
1.62
LEAGUE1.42
BRU
2.47
BRU scores +0.85 more per 90
CONCEDED · PER 90
STL
1.42
LEAGUE1.42
BRU
0.87
BRU concedes 0.55 fewer per 90
STATE OF PLAY
discipline, stakes and what's on the horizon
MATCH CONTEXT · STAKES
STL
8th
On 15 points.
BRU
2nd
On 28 points.
BRU sit 6 places higher in the table