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Antwerp vs Anderlecht
Pre-match
FORECAST
As of 22:13 UTC · 15 NovModel is split — no outcome stands clear.
ANT 43%Draw 25%AND 32%
Expected goals · ANT 1.6 · AND 1.4 · 3.0 total
ANT's attack (1.10x the league average) against AND's defence (0.93x, tighter than average) gives an expected-goals edge of 0.2.
MOST LIKELY SCORELINES
Show the maths
Every square is one final score. Add up the green squares for ANT's win chance, the blue ones for AND's, and the grey diagonal for the draw. Model estimate, not odds.
| ANT goals | AND 0 | AND 1 | AND 2 | AND 3 | AND 4 | AND 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANT 0 | 5% | 6% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| ANT 1 | 7% | 12% | 8% | 4% | 1% | <1% |
| ANT 2 | 7% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| ANT 3 | 4% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| ANT 4 | 1% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| ANT 5 | <1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
ANT 42.9% · Draw 25.3% · AND 31.8%
Scores with 6+ goals for either side (1.0%) are counted in the totals but not drawn.
OneTouch call · statistical model, for interest not betting advice
Model dc-v2.0
COMPARE
OneTouch fans
Your call?THE READ
THE CALL
Antwerp have the edge at 43% — the likeliest outcome, not a certain one.
THE ANGLE
BTTS at 61% suggests both attacks will find the net — 1-1 at 12% sits at the top of the scoreline distribution.
THE CAVEAT
The model uses league form only — it doesn't weight head-to-head history, recent injuries, or tactical changes that may shift the balance.
TEAM SHEETS
predicted XI, manager & bench depth
ANT
4-2-3-1Predicted line-up
TEAM NEWS
Antwerp
No absences reported.
Anderlecht
Suspended · Could return, due 22 Nov
Broken Leg · Expected back 10 Jan
Refreshed about every 30 minutes. Return dates are estimates.
SIGNALS
OVER 1.581%
OVER 2.558%
OVER 3.536%
BTTS61%
ANT CLEAN SHEET25%
AND CLEAN SHEET19%
FORM & MEETINGS
recent results, streaks and prior meetings
RECENT FORM · LAST 5
ANT
AND
Solid badge = vs. top-tier opponent
CURRENT STREAK · BOTH SIDES
ANT
UNBEATEN
1
games without defeatSCORING
4
games finding the netCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last 2LAST 5
4
points · W1 D1 L3AND
UNBEATEN
2
games without defeatSCORING
2
games finding the netCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last 4LAST 5
10
points · W3 D1 L1VENUE PATTERNS
how each side performs at their ground
GOALS PER GAME
LEAGUE AVG1.42SCORED · PER 90
ANT
1.62
LEAGUE1.42
AND
1.30
ANT scores +0.32 more per 90
CONCEDED · PER 90
ANT
2.18
LEAGUE1.42
AND
1.13
AND concedes 1.05 fewer per 90
STATE OF PLAY
discipline, stakes and what's on the horizon
MATCH CONTEXT · STAKES
ANT
13th
On 11 points.
AND
5th
On 20 points.
AND sit 8 places higher in the table