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KVC Westerlo vs RAAL La Louvière
Pre-match
FORECAST
As of 23:36 UTC · 15 NovKWE 65%Draw 17%RLL 18%
Expected goals · KWE 2.8 · RLL 1.5 · 4.3 total
KWE's attack (1.36x the league average) against RLL's defence (1.31x, conceding more than average) gives an expected-goals edge of 1.3.
MOST LIKELY SCORELINES
Show the maths
Every square is one final score. Add up the green squares for KWE's win chance, the blue ones for RLL's, and the grey diagonal for the draw. Model estimate, not odds.
| KWE goals | RLL 0 | RLL 1 | RLL 2 | RLL 3 | RLL 4 | RLL 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KWE 0 | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| KWE 1 | 3% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| KWE 2 | 5% | 8% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| KWE 3 | 5% | 7% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| KWE 4 | 3% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| KWE 5 | 2% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
KWE 64.6% · Draw 17.2% · RLL 18.2%
Scores with 6+ goals for either side (7.1%) are counted in the totals but not drawn.
OneTouch call · statistical model, for interest not betting advice
Model dc-v2.0
COMPARE
OneTouch fans
Your call?THE READ
THE CALL
KVC Westerlo should control this — 65% win probability and 2.4 goals per game say the edge is clear.
THE ANGLE
KVC Westerlo are averaging 2.4 per game at home — the gap in quality shows in the numbers.
THE CAVEAT
The model uses league form only — it doesn't weight head-to-head history, recent injuries, or tactical changes that may shift the balance.
TEAM SHEETS
predicted XI, manager & bench depth
KWE
4-2-3-1Predicted line-up
SIGNALS
OVER 1.594%
OVER 2.581%
OVER 3.563%
BTTS74%
KWE CLEAN SHEET22%
RLL CLEAN SHEET6%
FORM & MEETINGS
recent results, streaks and prior meetings
RECENT FORM · LAST 5
KWE
RLL
Solid badge = vs. top-tier opponent
CURRENT STREAK · BOTH SIDES
KWE
LOSING RUN
2
Lost 1–5 last outSCORING
5
games finding the netCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last 4LAST 5
7
points · W2 D1 L2RLL
LOSING RUN
2
Lost 0–1 to Cercle Brugge last outGOAL DROUGHT
1
games without scoringCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last 2LAST 5
3
points · W1 D0 L4VENUE PATTERNS
how each side performs at their ground
GOALS PER GAME
LEAGUE AVG1.42SCORED · PER 90
KWE
2.38
LEAGUE1.42
RLL
1.20
KWE scores +1.18 more per 90
CONCEDED · PER 90
KWE
2.76
LEAGUE1.42
RLL
2.19
RLL concedes 0.57 fewer per 90
STATE OF PLAY
discipline, stakes and what's on the horizon
MATCH CONTEXT · STAKES
KWE
9th
On 14 points.
RLL
17th
On 7 points.
KWE sit 8 places higher in the table
