Cookies: one sign-in cookie. Analytics only if you accept. Cookie policy
Lommel SK vs Zulte-Waregem
Pre-match
FORECAST
As of 15:13 UTC · 15 NovLOM 55%Draw 27%ZUL 18%
Expected goals · LOM 1.6 · ZUL 0.8 · 2.4 total
LOM's attack (0.84x, below the league average) against ZUL's defence (1.16x, conceding more than average) gives an expected-goals edge of 0.8.
MOST LIKELY SCORELINES
Show the maths
Every square is one final score. Add up the green squares for LOM's win chance, the blue ones for ZUL's, and the grey diagonal for the draw. Model estimate, not odds.
| LOM goals | ZUL 0 | ZUL 1 | ZUL 2 | ZUL 3 | ZUL 4 | ZUL 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LOM 0 | 10% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| LOM 1 | 14% | 12% | 5% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| LOM 2 | 12% | 9% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| LOM 3 | 6% | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| LOM 4 | 2% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| LOM 5 | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
LOM 54.9% · Draw 26.9% · ZUL 18.2%
Scores with 6+ goals for either side (0.5%) are counted in the totals but not drawn.
OneTouch call · statistical model, for interest not betting advice
Model dc-v2.0
COMPARE
OneTouch fans
Your call?THE READ
THE CALL
Lommel SK have the edge at 55% — the likeliest outcome, not a certain one.
THE ANGLE
Expected goals of 1.6 vs 0.8 gives Lommel SK the edge but leaves room for Zulte-Waregem to stay in it.
THE CAVEAT
Zulte-Waregem are on a 5-match losing streak — momentum often defies the long-term averages used here.
ON A SKID · ZUL5 losses in a row
TEAM SHEETS
predicted XI, manager & bench depth
LOM
4-2-3-1Predicted line-up
SIGNALS
OVER 1.569%
OVER 2.541%
OVER 3.521%
BTTS44%
LOM CLEAN SHEET46%
ZUL CLEAN SHEET21%
FORM & MEETINGS
recent results, streaks and prior meetings
RECENT FORM · LAST 5
LOM
ZUL
CURRENT STREAK · BOTH SIDES
LOM
UNBEATEN
5
games without defeatSCORING
4
games finding the netCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last matchLAST 5
9
points · W2 D3 L0ZUL
LOSING RUN
5
Lost 1–4 last outSCORING
2
games finding the netCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last 5LAST 5
0
points · W0 D0 L5VENUE PATTERNS
how each side performs at their ground
GOALS PER GAME
LEAGUE AVG1.42SCORED · PER 90
LOM
1.40
LEAGUE1.42
ZUL
1.15
LOM scores +0.25 more per 90
CONCEDED · PER 90
LOM
1.20
LEAGUE1.42
ZUL
1.95
LOM concedes 0.75 fewer per 90