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Lommel SK vs Standard Liege
Pre-match
FORECAST
As of 13:32 UTC · 12 NovLOM 47%Draw 27%STL 26%
Expected goals · LOM 1.5 · STL 1.1 · 2.6 total
LOM's attack (0.84x, below the league average) against STL's defence (1.15x, conceding more than average) gives an expected-goals edge of 0.4.
MOST LIKELY SCORELINES
Show the maths
Every square is one final score. Add up the green squares for LOM's win chance, the blue ones for STL's, and the grey diagonal for the draw. Model estimate, not odds.
| LOM goals | STL 0 | STL 1 | STL 2 | STL 3 | STL 4 | STL 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LOM 0 | 8% | 7% | 4% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| LOM 1 | 10% | 13% | 7% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| LOM 2 | 9% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| LOM 3 | 4% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| LOM 4 | 2% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| LOM 5 | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
LOM 47.2% · Draw 26.8% · STL 26.0%
Scores with 6+ goals for either side (0.6%) are counted in the totals but not drawn.
OneTouch call · statistical model, for interest not betting advice
Model dc-v2.0
COMPARE
OneTouch fans
Your call?THE READ
THE CALL
Lommel SK edge this at 47% — expected goals of 1.5 to 1.1 give them the lean.
THE ANGLE
Single-goal margins account for 38% of outcomes — 1-1 at 13% is the model's best guess.
THE CAVEAT
The model uses league form only — it doesn't weight head-to-head history, recent injuries, or tactical changes that may shift the balance.
TEAM SHEETS
predicted XI, manager & bench depth
LOM
4-2-3-1Predicted line-up
TEAM NEWS
Standard Liege
Unknown · Expected back 30 Nov
Achilles Tendon Injury · Expected back 31 Jan
Knee Injury
Refreshed about every 30 minutes. Return dates are estimates.
SIGNALS
OVER 1.575%
OVER 2.549%
OVER 3.527%
BTTS53%
LOM CLEAN SHEET34%
STL CLEAN SHEET21%
FORM & MEETINGS
recent results, streaks and prior meetings
RECENT FORM · LAST 5
LOM
STL
CURRENT STREAK · BOTH SIDES
LOM
UNBEATEN
5
games without defeatSCORING
4
games finding the netCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last matchLAST 5
9
points · W2 D3 L0STL
UNBEATEN
2
games without defeatSCORING
3
games finding the netCLEAN SHEETS
1
games without concedingLAST 5
4
points · W1 D1 L3VENUE PATTERNS
how each side performs at their ground
GOALS PER GAME
LEAGUE AVG1.42SCORED · PER 90
LOM
1.40
LEAGUE1.42
STL
1.62
STL scores +0.22 more per 90
CONCEDED · PER 90
LOM
1.20
LEAGUE1.42
STL
1.42
LOM concedes 0.22 fewer per 90