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KV Mechelen vs Club Brugge
Pre-match
FORECAST
As of 01:41 UTC · 10 NovKVM 16%Draw 19%BRU 65%
Expected goals · KVM 1.2 · BRU 2.4 · 3.6 total
BRU's attack (1.60x the league average) against KVM's defence (1.24x, conceding more than average) gives an expected-goals edge of 1.2.
MOST LIKELY SCORELINES
Show the maths
Every square is one final score. Add up the green squares for KVM's win chance, the blue ones for BRU's, and the grey diagonal for the draw. Model estimate, not odds.
| KVM goals | BRU 0 | BRU 1 | BRU 2 | BRU 3 | BRU 4 | BRU 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KVM 0 | 3% | 6% | 8% | 7% | 4% | 2% |
| KVM 1 | 3% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 5% | 2% |
| KVM 2 | 2% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 1% |
| KVM 3 | 1% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% |
| KVM 4 | <1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| KVM 5 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
KVM 16.0% · Draw 18.9% · BRU 65.1%
Scores with 6+ goals for either side (3.8%) are counted in the totals but not drawn.
OneTouch call · statistical model, for interest not betting advice
Model dc-v2.0
COMPARE
Second model
OneTouch fans
Your call?THE READ
THE CALL
Club Brugge should control this — 65% win probability and 2.5 goals per game say the edge is clear.
THE ANGLE
Club Brugge are averaging 2.5 per game at away — the gap in quality shows in the numbers.
THE CAVEAT
The model uses league form only — it doesn't weight head-to-head history, recent injuries, or tactical changes that may shift the balance.
TEAM SHEETS
predicted XI, manager & bench depth
KVM
3-4-1-2BRU
4-2-3-1Predicted line-up
SIGNALS
OVER 1.588%
OVER 2.570%
OVER 3.548%
BTTS63%
KVM CLEAN SHEET9%
BRU CLEAN SHEET31%
FORM & MEETINGS
recent results, streaks and prior meetings
RECENT FORM · LAST 5
KVM
BRU
Solid badge = vs. top-tier opponent
CURRENT STREAK · BOTH SIDES
KVM
LOSING RUN
1
Lost 0–2 last outGOAL DROUGHT
1
games without scoringCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last 2LAST 5
10
points · W3 D1 L1BRU
UNBEATEN
5
games without defeatSCORING
5
games finding the netCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last 4LAST 5
13
points · W4 D1 L0VENUE PATTERNS
how each side performs at their ground
GOALS PER GAME
LEAGUE AVG1.42SCORED · PER 90
KVM
1.21
LEAGUE1.42
BRU
2.47
BRU scores +1.26 more per 90
CONCEDED · PER 90
KVM
1.77
LEAGUE1.42
BRU
0.87
BRU concedes 0.90 fewer per 90
STATE OF PLAY
discipline, stakes and what's on the horizon
MATCH CONTEXT · STAKES
KVM
11th
On 12 points.
BRU
2nd
On 28 points.
BRU sit 9 places higher in the table
