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Model is split — no outcome stands clear.
Expected goals · ZUL 1.8 · ANT 1.5 · 3.3 total
ZUL's attack (0.90x, below the league average) against ANT's defence (1.22x, conceding more than average) gives an expected-goals edge of 0.3.
Every square is one final score. Add up the green squares for ZUL's win chance, the blue ones for ANT's, and the grey diagonal for the draw. Model estimate, not odds.
| ZUL goals | ANT 0 | ANT 1 | ANT 2 | ANT 3 | ANT 4 | ANT 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ZUL 0 | 5% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| ZUL 1 | 6% | 11% | 7% | 4% | 1% | <1% |
| ZUL 2 | 6% | 9% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| ZUL 3 | 4% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| ZUL 4 | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| ZUL 5 | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
ZUL 44.3% · Draw 24.2% · ANT 31.5%
Scores with 6+ goals for either side (1.3%) are counted in the totals but not drawn.
OneTouch call · statistical model, for interest not betting advice
Zulte-Waregem have the edge at 44% — the likeliest outcome, not a certain one.
Zulte-Waregem's home advantage is the separator — they score 1.1/game there, Antwerp concede 2.2/game on the road.
Zulte-Waregem are on a 5-match losing streak — momentum often defies the long-term averages used here.
predicted XI, manager & bench depth
ZUL
4-3-3ANT
4-2-3-1Predicted line-up
recent results, streaks and prior meetings
Solid badge = vs. top-tier opponent
how each side performs at their ground
ANT scores +0.47 more per 90
ZUL concedes 0.23 fewer per 90
discipline, stakes and what's on the horizon
ANT sit 1 place higher in the table