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Racing Genk vs RAAL La Louvière
Pre-match
FORECAST
As of 08:13 UTC · 12 NovRGE 78%Draw 14%RLL 7%
Expected goals · RGE 2.7 · RLL 0.7 · 3.4 total
RGE's attack (1.29x the league average) against RLL's defence (1.31x, conceding more than average) gives an expected-goals edge of 2.0.
MOST LIKELY SCORELINES
Show the maths
Every square is one final score. Add up the green squares for RGE's win chance, the blue ones for RLL's, and the grey diagonal for the draw. Model estimate, not odds.
| RGE goals | RLL 0 | RLL 1 | RLL 2 | RLL 3 | RLL 4 | RLL 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RGE 0 | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| RGE 1 | 8% | 7% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| RGE 2 | 12% | 9% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| RGE 3 | 10% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| RGE 4 | 7% | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| RGE 5 | 4% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
RGE 78.4% · Draw 14.3% · RLL 7.3%
Scores with 6+ goals for either side (5.6%) are counted in the totals but not drawn.
OneTouch call · statistical model, for interest not betting advice
Model dc-v2.0
COMPARE
Second model
OneTouch fans
Your call?THE READ
THE CALL
Racing Genk at 78% — RAAL La Louvière concede 2.2 per game, and the model sees that.
THE ANGLE
Expected goals of 2.7 vs 0.8 leaves little room for RAAL La Louvière to force this open.
THE CAVEAT
The model uses league form only — it doesn't weight head-to-head history, recent injuries, or tactical changes that may shift the balance.
TEAM SHEETS
predicted XI, manager & bench depth
RGE
4-2-3-1Predicted line-up
SIGNALS
OVER 1.586%
OVER 2.567%
OVER 3.545%
BTTS50%
RGE CLEAN SHEET47%
RLL CLEAN SHEET7%
FORM & MEETINGS
recent results, streaks and prior meetings
RECENT FORM · LAST 5
RGE
RLL
Solid badge = vs. top-tier opponent
CURRENT STREAK · BOTH SIDES
RGE
LOSING RUN
2
Lost 0–1 to Union St. Gilloise last outGOAL DROUGHT
2
games without scoringCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last 3LAST 5
6
points · W2 D0 L3RLL
LOSING RUN
2
Lost 0–1 to Cercle Brugge last outGOAL DROUGHT
1
games without scoringCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last 2LAST 5
3
points · W1 D0 L4VENUE PATTERNS
how each side performs at their ground
GOALS PER GAME
LEAGUE AVG1.42SCORED · PER 90
RGE
1.59
LEAGUE1.42
RLL
1.20
RGE scores +0.39 more per 90
CONCEDED · PER 90
RGE
1.32
LEAGUE1.42
RLL
2.19
RGE concedes 0.87 fewer per 90
STATE OF PLAY
discipline, stakes and what's on the horizon
MATCH CONTEXT · STAKES
RGE
7th
On 15 points.
RLL
17th
On 7 points.
RGE sit 10 places higher in the table