Cookies: one sign-in cookie. Analytics only if you accept. Cookie policy
Royal Charleroi SC vs Sint-Truidense
21 Nov · 15:00 UTC
Stade du Pays de Charleroi
Pre-match
FORECAST
As of 08:13 UTC · 12 NovCHA 59%Draw 18%STR 23%
Expected goals · CHA 2.9 · STR 1.8 · 4.7 total
CHA's attack (1.42x the league average) against STR's defence (1.25x, conceding more than average) gives an expected-goals edge of 1.1.
MOST LIKELY SCORELINES
Show the maths
Every square is one final score. Add up the green squares for CHA's win chance, the blue ones for STR's, and the grey diagonal for the draw. Model estimate, not odds.
| CHA goals | STR 0 | STR 1 | STR 2 | STR 3 | STR 4 | STR 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHA 0 | 1% | 1% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| CHA 1 | 2% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| CHA 2 | 4% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% |
| CHA 3 | 4% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% |
| CHA 4 | 3% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| CHA 5 | 1% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
CHA 59.1% · Draw 17.7% · STR 23.2%
Scores with 6+ goals for either side (7.9%) are counted in the totals but not drawn.
OneTouch call · statistical model, for interest not betting advice
Model dc-v2.0
COMPARE
Second model
OneTouch fans
Your call?THE READ
THE CALL
Royal Charleroi SC should control this — 59% win probability and 2.4 goals per game say the edge is clear.
THE ANGLE
Sint-Truidense concede 2.0 per game on the model's weighted record, and Royal Charleroi SC's most likely scoreline is 2-1 at 7%.
THE CAVEAT
The model uses league form only — it doesn't weight head-to-head history, recent injuries, or tactical changes that may shift the balance.
TEAM SHEETS
predicted XI, manager & bench depth
CHA
4-2-3-1Predicted line-up
SIGNALS
OVER 1.595%
OVER 2.585%
OVER 3.569%
BTTS80%
CHA CLEAN SHEET16%
STR CLEAN SHEET6%
FORM & MEETINGS
recent results, streaks and prior meetings
RECENT FORM · LAST 5
CHA
STR
CURRENT STREAK · BOTH SIDES
CHA
UNBEATEN
2
games without defeatSCORING
2
games finding the netCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last 3LAST 5
12
points · W4 D0 L1STR
UNBEATEN
1
games without defeatSCORING
4
games finding the netCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last 5LAST 5
3
points · W1 D0 L4VENUE PATTERNS
how each side performs at their ground
GOALS PER GAME
LEAGUE AVG1.42SCORED · PER 90
CHA
2.40
LEAGUE1.42
STR
2.02
CHA scores +0.38 more per 90
CONCEDED · PER 90
CHA
1.22
LEAGUE1.42
STR
2.02
CHA concedes 0.80 fewer per 90
